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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT · 20U / 3-SHOE
Contra D'Alembert Press — 20-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Sequential profile M302-0 maps Contra D'Alembert Press over a 3-shoe (216-hand) horizon with 20 units: eight-deck escalation (+1 on win / -1 on loss, 10 steps) interacts with the 60-unit limit to benchmarks a 94.80% ruin rate and a bankroll-constrained cadence of 1.12x. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-10u Stop)
- 94.80%
- Target Hit (+6u Cap)
- 16.68%
- 216-Hand Expected Hold
- 2.92u
- Table Max (5-Step Depth)
- 60u