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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT · 150U / 1-SHOE
Contra D'Alembert Press — 150-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Sequential profile M316-0 charts Contra D'Alembert Press over a 1-shoe (72-hand) horizon with 150 units: house-edge-anchored escalation (+1 on win / -1 on loss, 10 steps) interacts with the 40-unit limit to computes a 6.70% ruin rate and a eight-deck volatility-band of 1.94x. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-75u Stop)
- 6.70%
- Target Hit (+38u Cap)
- 43.59%
- 72-Hand Expected Hold
- 1.69u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 40u