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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT · 150U / 10-SHOE
Contra D'Alembert Press — 150-Unit Bankroll & 10-Shoe (720-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Within asymmetric horizon M318-0, a 150-unit treasury backing Contra D'Alembert Press for 720 hands (10 shoes) faces a 100-unit bet cap that models 48.50% ruin exposure, 32.70% target attainment at +38u, and 18.79% time-limit expiration. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-75u Stop)
- 48.50%
- Target Hit (+38u Cap)
- 32.70%
- 720-Hand Expected Hold
- 16.85u
- Table Max (7-Step Depth)
- 100u