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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · 2-1-2 MANHATTAN · 50U / 5-SHOE
2-1-2 Manhattan Progression — 50-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
When a 50-unit stack enters a 5-shoe (360-hand) session using 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression, house-edge-anchored model M410-0 inspects 454u in cumulative action and a 68.85% barrier-absorption probability before the 80-unit table maximum truncates the eight-deck turnover. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-25u Stop)
- 68.85%
- Target Hit (+13u Cap)
- 27.43%
- 360-Hand Expected Hold
- 5.43u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 80u