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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-3-2-6 VS 1-2-3-5

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence vs. 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)

Combinatorial stress ledger S422-0 verifies 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder across 288 coups (180u bankroll, 100u max bet), demonstrating that 1.4579% house edge and 12-hand runs enforce 16.55% vs 12.37% ruin along the absorbing-barrier absorption-curve. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
16.55%
1-2-3-5 Ruin Rate
12.37%
Peak Trough (12-Run)
-43u
4-Shoe Streak House Edge
1.4579%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S422 (1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5, Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 (4-Shoe Streak)

Stress cell S422 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-2-3-5 over 288 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
16.55% vs 12.37%

Probability of exhausting the 180-unit bankroll under a 100-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
6.96u vs 6.16u

Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 288 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-43u vs -27u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 12-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
26 Ties · 4.32u Drag

Reflects 9.03% tie frequency (26 pushes) and 4.32u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S422 · STREAK SHOE PROFILE

1-3-2-6 vs. 1-2-3-5 finite-shoe cadence (288 Hands · S422)

Head-to-head matrix S422-1 subjects 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) and 1-2-3-5 (1-2-3-5) to 288 hands of 4-Shoe Streak (streak) with 180 units and a 100-unit roof, benchmarks 6.96u versus 6.16u in mathematical house hold and 16.55% versus 12.37% ruin.

Combinatorial stress ledger S422-2 tracks 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder across 288 coups (180u bankroll, 100u max bet), demonstrating that 1.4579% house edge and 12-hand runs enforce 16.55% vs 12.37% ruin along the eight-deck stake-velocity.

S422 cadence1-3-2-61-2-3-5
1-3-2-6 / 1-2-3-5 Rule1-3-2-61-2-3-5
288-Hand Ruin (180u)16.55%12.37%
4-Shoe Streak Hold (1.4579%)6.96u6.16u
12-Run Trough (100u Cap)-43u-27u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

4-Shoe Streak Vigorish (4.32u) & 9.03% Tie Push Audit (S422)

Head-to-head matrix S422-3 subjects 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) and 1-2-3-5 (1-2-3-5) to 288 hands of 4-Shoe Streak (streak) with 180 units and a 100-unit roof, calibrates 6.96u versus 6.16u in mathematical house hold and 16.55% versus 12.37% ruin.

Combinatorial stress ledger S422-4 tabulates 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder across 288 coups (180u bankroll, 100u max bet), demonstrating that 1.4579% house edge and 12-hand runs enforce 16.55% vs 12.37% ruin along the step-indexed drawdown-slope.

  • Trial S422: set a 180u stop before running 1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 over 288 hands.
  • Scenario S422 models 4.32u in commission drag and 26 tie pushes (9.03% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S422: derived road red marks finite-shoe column repetition and blue marks a structural break (cadence), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from 1-2-3-5 to 1-3-2-6 during Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 neutralizes the 1.4579% house edge.
TruthOver 288 hands on a 180-unit stack, 1-3-2-6 carries 6.96u expected loss (16.55% ruin) vs 6.16u (12.37% ruin) for 1-2-3-5.
MythDuring a 12-hand streak sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android