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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-3-2-6 VS 1-2-3-5

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence vs. 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder — 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (74-Hand Stress Test)

Across 74 resolved and tied deals under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge), sequential comparison S413-0 maps 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence against 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder on a 90-unit bankroll, showing that 11-hand clusters and a 65-unit ceiling drive 9.35% vs 6.57% stop-loss breaches along the non-stationary decay-rate. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
9.35%
1-2-3-5 Ruin Rate
6.57%
Peak Trough (11-Run)
-38u
No-Comm Streak House Edge
1.4579%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B P B P B P P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S413 (1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5, 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 (No-Comm Streak)

Stress cell S413 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-2-3-5 over 74 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
9.35% vs 6.57%

Probability of exhausting the 90-unit bankroll under a 65-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
1.79u vs 1.58u

Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 74 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-38u vs -27u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 11-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
6 Ties · 1.11u Drag

Reflects 8.11% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 1.11u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S413 · STREAK SHOE PROFILE

1-3-2-6 vs. 1-2-3-5 capital-bounded escalation (74 Hands · S413)

Pairing a 90-unit bankroll against 74 hands of No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge) in cell S413-1 evaluates 1-3-2-6 at 9.35% ruin and -38u peak trajectory, whereas 1-2-3-5 records 6.57% ruin and -27u below the 65-unit ceiling.

Across 74 resolved and tied deals under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge), stochastic comparison S413-2 charts 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence against 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder on a 90-unit bankroll, showing that 11-hand clusters and a 65-unit ceiling drive 9.35% vs 6.57% stop-loss breaches along the house-edge-anchored distribution.

S413 escalation1-3-2-61-2-3-5
1-3-2-6 / 1-2-3-5 Rule1-3-2-61-2-3-5
74-Hand Ruin (90u)9.35%6.57%
No-Comm Streak Hold (1.4579%)1.79u1.58u
11-Run Trough (65u Cap)-38u-27u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

No-Comm Streak Vigorish (1.11u) & 8.11% Tie Push Audit (S413)

Pairing a 90-unit bankroll against 74 hands of No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge) in cell S413-3 inspects 1-3-2-6 at 9.35% ruin and -38u peak cycle-span, whereas 1-2-3-5 records 6.57% ruin and -27u below the 65-unit ceiling.

Across 74 resolved and tied deals under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge), house-edge-anchored comparison S413-4 documents 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence against 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder on a 90-unit bankroll, showing that 11-hand clusters and a 65-unit ceiling drive 9.35% vs 6.57% stop-loss breaches along the sequential survival-window.

  • Trial S413: set a 90u stop before running 1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 over 74 hands.
  • Scenario S413 computes 1.11u in commission drag and 6 tie pushes (8.11% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S413: derived road red marks capital-bounded column repetition and blue marks a structural break (escalation), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from 1-2-3-5 to 1-3-2-6 during 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay neutralizes the 1.4579% house edge.
TruthOver 74 hands on a 90-unit stack, 1-3-2-6 carries 1.79u expected loss (9.35% ruin) vs 1.58u (6.57% ruin) for 1-2-3-5.
MythDuring a 11-hand streak sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android