Within finite-shoe testbed S414-0, a 85-unit bankroll facing 80 coups of No-Comm High-Tie (high-tie) and a 60-unit maximum wager dissects 13.41% ruin (1.93u expected loss) on 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 7.61% ruin (1.71u expected loss) on 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S414 (1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5, 18% Tie-Heavy Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Stress cell S414 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-2-3-5 over 80 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 85-unit bankroll under a 60-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 80 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 5-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 18.75% tie frequency (15 pushes) and 1.20u in vigorish friction.
In head-to-head trial S414-1 across 80 deals (No-Comm High-Tie, 1.4579% edge), 1-3-2-6 records a -24u peak exposure and 13.41% ruin probability on a 85-unit stack, whereas 1-2-3-5 logs a -18u trough and 7.61% ruin under the 60-unit limit.
Within multi-coup testbed S414-2, a 85-unit bankroll facing 80 coups of No-Comm High-Tie (high-tie) and a 60-unit maximum wager computes 13.41% ruin (1.93u expected loss) on 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 7.61% ruin (1.71u expected loss) on 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder.
| S414 distribution | 1-3-2-6 | 1-2-3-5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3-2-6 / 1-2-3-5 Rule | 1-3-2-6 | 1-2-3-5 |
| 80-Hand Ruin (85u) | 13.41% | 7.61% |
| No-Comm High-Tie Hold (1.4579%) | 1.93u | 1.71u |
| 5-Run Trough (60u Cap) | -24u | -18u |
In head-to-head trial S414-3 across 80 deals (No-Comm High-Tie, 1.4579% edge), 1-3-2-6 records a -24u peak profile and 13.41% ruin probability on a 85-unit stack, whereas 1-2-3-5 logs a -18u trough and 7.61% ruin under the 60-unit limit.
Within drawdown-weighted testbed S414-4, a 85-unit bankroll facing 80 coups of No-Comm High-Tie (high-tie) and a 60-unit maximum wager evaluates 13.41% ruin (1.93u expected loss) on 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 7.61% ruin (1.71u expected loss) on 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
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