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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-3-2-6 VS 1-2-3-5

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence vs. 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder — Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (70-Hand Stress Test)

Stress test S412-0 inspects 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) against 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder (1-2-3-5) inside a 65-unit bankroll over 70 hands (No-Comm Chop, chop), where a 50-unit table ceiling produces 15.49% vs 8.08% ruin rates and evaluates 1.05u in table-capped vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
15.49%
1-2-3-5 Ruin Rate
8.08%
Peak Trough (2-Run)
-21u
No-Comm Chop House Edge
1.4579%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S412 (1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5, Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 (No-Comm Chop)

Stress cell S412 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-2-3-5 over 70 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
15.49% vs 8.08%

Probability of exhausting the 65-unit bankroll under a 50-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
1.69u vs 1.50u

Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 70 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-21u vs -11u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 2-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
7 Ties · 1.05u Drag

Reflects 9.55% tie frequency (7 pushes) and 1.05u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S412 · CHOP SHOE PROFILE

1-3-2-6 vs. 1-2-3-5 non-stationary turnover (70 Hands · S412)

Evaluating 1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 in scenario S412-1 (70 hands, 65u stack, 50u table limit) documents how 7 tie stalls (9.55%) and a 2-coup run shape step-indexed volatility-band, yielding 15.49% vs 8.08% ruin.

Stress test S412-2 audits 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) against 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder (1-2-3-5) inside a 65-unit bankroll over 70 hands (No-Comm Chop, chop), where a 50-unit table ceiling produces 15.49% vs 8.08% ruin rates and tracks 1.05u in non-stationary vigorish drag.

S412 turnover1-3-2-61-2-3-5
1-3-2-6 / 1-2-3-5 Rule1-3-2-61-2-3-5
70-Hand Ruin (65u)15.49%8.08%
No-Comm Chop Hold (1.4579%)1.69u1.50u
2-Run Trough (50u Cap)-21u-11u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

No-Comm Chop Vigorish (1.05u) & 9.55% Tie Push Audit (S412)

Evaluating 1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 in scenario S412-3 (70 hands, 65u stack, 50u table limit) profiles how 7 tie stalls (9.55%) and a 2-coup run shape variance-scaled survival-window, yielding 15.49% vs 8.08% ruin.

Stress test S412-4 verifies 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) against 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder (1-2-3-5) inside a 65-unit bankroll over 70 hands (No-Comm Chop, chop), where a 50-unit table ceiling produces 15.49% vs 8.08% ruin rates and maps 1.05u in combinatorial vigorish drag.

  • Trial S412: set a 65u stop before running 1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 over 70 hands.
  • Scenario S412 verifies 1.05u in commission drag and 7 tie pushes (9.55% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S412: derived road red marks non-stationary column repetition and blue marks a structural break (turnover), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from 1-2-3-5 to 1-3-2-6 during Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay neutralizes the 1.4579% house edge.
TruthOver 70 hands on a 65-unit stack, 1-3-2-6 carries 1.69u expected loss (15.49% ruin) vs 1.50u (8.08% ruin) for 1-2-3-5.
MythDuring a 2-hand chop sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android