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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-3-2-6 VS 1-2-3-5

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence vs. 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder — Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (144-Hand Stress Test)

Combinatorial stress ledger S415-0 tabulates 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder across 144 coups (100u bankroll, 75u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0284% house edge and 3-hand runs enforce 21.10% vs 11.27% ruin along the step-indexed envelope. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
21.10%
1-2-3-5 Ruin Rate
11.27%
Peak Trough (3-Run)
-20u
EZ Dragon Chop House Edge
1.0284%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P B B P P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ =
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S415 (1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5, Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 (EZ Dragon Chop)

Stress cell S415 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-2-3-5 over 144 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
21.10% vs 11.27%

Probability of exhausting the 100-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
2.45u vs 2.17u

Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 144 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-20u vs -16u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 3-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
14 Ties · 1.18u Drag

Reflects 9.72% tie frequency (14 pushes) and 1.18u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S415 · CHOP SHOE PROFILE

1-3-2-6 vs. 1-2-3-5 sequential absorption-curve (144 Hands · S415)

Head-to-head matrix S415-1 subjects 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) and 1-2-3-5 (1-2-3-5) to 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) with 100 units and a 75-unit roof, models 2.45u versus 2.17u in mathematical house hold and 21.10% versus 11.27% ruin.

Combinatorial stress ledger S415-2 measures 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder across 144 coups (100u bankroll, 75u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0284% house edge and 3-hand runs enforce 21.10% vs 11.27% ruin along the variance-scaled trajectory.

S415 absorption-curve1-3-2-61-2-3-5
1-3-2-6 / 1-2-3-5 Rule1-3-2-61-2-3-5
144-Hand Ruin (100u)21.10%11.27%
EZ Dragon Chop Hold (1.0284%)2.45u2.17u
3-Run Trough (75u Cap)-20u-16u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

EZ Dragon Chop Vigorish (1.18u) & 9.72% Tie Push Audit (S415)

Head-to-head matrix S415-3 subjects 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) and 1-2-3-5 (1-2-3-5) to 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) with 100 units and a 75-unit roof, dissects 2.45u versus 2.17u in mathematical house hold and 21.10% versus 11.27% ruin.

Combinatorial stress ledger S415-4 quantifies 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder across 144 coups (100u bankroll, 75u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0284% house edge and 3-hand runs enforce 21.10% vs 11.27% ruin along the session-bounded cycle-span.

  • Trial S415: set a 100u stop before running 1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5 over 144 hands.
  • Scenario S415 maps 1.18u in commission drag and 14 tie pushes (9.72% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S415: derived road red marks sequential column repetition and blue marks a structural break (absorption-curve), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from 1-2-3-5 to 1-3-2-6 during Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push neutralizes the 1.0284% house edge.
TruthOver 144 hands on a 100-unit stack, 1-3-2-6 carries 2.45u expected loss (21.10% ruin) vs 2.17u (11.27% ruin) for 1-2-3-5.
MythDuring a 3-hand chop sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android