Within variance-scaled testbed S421-0, a 160-unit bankroll facing 288 coups of 4-Shoe Chop (chop) and a 100-unit maximum wager calibrates 24.92% ruin (5.05u expected loss) on 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 13.51% ruin (4.47u expected loss) on 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S421 (1-3-2-6 vs 1-2-3-5, Four-Shoe Alternating Sawtooth under 5% Banker Commission). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S421 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-2-3-5 over 288 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 160-unit bankroll under a 100-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% house edge) across 288 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 3-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.
Reflects 9.38% tie frequency (27 pushes) and 2.42u in vigorish friction.
In head-to-head trial S421-1 across 288 deals (4-Shoe Chop, 1.0579% edge), 1-3-2-6 records a -20u peak distribution and 24.92% ruin probability on a 160-unit stack, whereas 1-2-3-5 logs a -12u trough and 13.51% ruin under the 100-unit limit.
Within session-bounded testbed S421-2, a 160-unit bankroll facing 288 coups of 4-Shoe Chop (chop) and a 100-unit maximum wager models 24.92% ruin (5.05u expected loss) on 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 13.51% ruin (4.47u expected loss) on 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder.
| S421 excursion | 1-3-2-6 | 1-2-3-5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3-2-6 / 1-2-3-5 Rule | 1-3-2-6 | 1-2-3-5 |
| 288-Hand Ruin (160u) | 24.92% | 13.51% |
| 4-Shoe Chop Hold (1.0579%) | 5.05u | 4.47u |
| 3-Run Trough (100u Cap) | -20u | -12u |
In head-to-head trial S421-3 across 288 deals (4-Shoe Chop, 1.0579% edge), 1-3-2-6 records a -20u peak envelope and 24.92% ruin probability on a 160-unit stack, whereas 1-2-3-5 logs a -12u trough and 13.51% ruin under the 100-unit limit.
Within finite-shoe testbed S421-4, a 160-unit bankroll facing 288 coups of 4-Shoe Chop (chop) and a 100-unit maximum wager dissects 24.92% ruin (5.05u expected loss) on 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence versus 13.51% ruin (4.47u expected loss) on 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).