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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · 1-3-2-6 · 50U / 2-SHOE

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — 50-Unit Bankroll & 2-Shoe (144-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Sequential profile M184-0 tracks 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence over a 2-shoe (144-hand) horizon with 50 units: absorbing-barrier escalation (1-3-2-6, 4 steps) interacts with the 50-unit limit to calibrates a 30.37% ruin rate and a variance-scaled footprint of 1.28x. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-25u Stop)
30.37%
Target Hit (+13u Cap)
37.79%
144-Hand Expected Hold
2.18u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
50u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B P B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M184 (1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence, 50u bankroll, 144 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
50u / 2 Shoes (144 Hands)

Matrix cell M184 tests 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with a $25 base unit and -25u/+13u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
30.37%

Probability of hitting the -25u drawdown barrier before completing 144 hands or reaching +13u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
37.79%

Share of 144-hand trajectories reaching the +13u session ceiling, with 31.84% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (50u Cap)

A 50-unit house limit and 50-unit stack cap 1-3-2-6 escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
2.18u ($55)

Derived from 184u total action (1.28x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M184 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

1-3-2-6 50u asymmetric capital-runway Across 144 Hands (M184)

Under configuration M184-1, deploying 1-3-2-6 with 50 base units over 144 resolved hands (2 shoes) measures a bankroll-constrained envelope: hitting the 50-unit house cap after 6 adverse steps drives a 30.37% stop-loss breach rate against a 37.79% chance of reaching the +13-unit target.

Sequential profile M184-2 maps 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence over a 2-shoe (144-hand) horizon with 50 units: capital-bounded escalation (1-3-2-6, 4 steps) interacts with the 50-unit limit to models a 30.37% ruin rate and a drawdown-weighted turnover of 1.28x.

M184 Parameter1-3-2-6 (50u)2-Shoe capital-runway
1-3-2-6 Ladder1-3-2-6 (4 steps)Peak 6u multiplier on M184
50u Stack Window144 hands (2 shoes)Barriers -25u / +13u
50u Ceiling & Ruin30.37% ruin vs 37.79% winDepth 6 steps (1 cap hits)
184u Handle & Hold2.18u ($55)Multiplier 1.28x (asymmetric drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

50u Ceiling Collisions & 1-3-2-6 Turnover (2 Shoes)

Under configuration M184-3, deploying 1-3-2-6 with 50 base units over 144 resolved hands (2 shoes) documents a discrete-time trajectory: hitting the 50-unit house cap after 6 adverse steps drives a 30.37% stop-loss breach rate against a 37.79% chance of reaching the +13-unit target.

Sequential profile M184-4 benchmarks 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence over a 2-shoe (144-hand) horizon with 50 units: commission-adjusted escalation (1-3-2-6, 4 steps) interacts with the 50-unit limit to dissects a 30.37% ruin rate and a table-capped progression-curve of 1.28x.

  • Cell M184 rule: lock the -25u stop on your 50u 1-3-2-6 stack across 144 hands.
  • Matrix M184 inspects 2.18u ($55) in house hold over 184u of 1-3-2-6 action.
  • Scoreboard check M184: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (asymmetric capital-runway) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 50 units to a 2-shoe session lets 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 144 hands, 1-3-2-6 generates 184u in action, 2.18u in expected loss, and a 30.37% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell 1-3-2-6 bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 144-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android