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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · 1-3-2-6 · 300U / 3-SHOE

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — 300-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Case M197-0 profiles the drawdown-weighted 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 8.89% ruin rate while quantifies an average stake profile of 1.86x and 4.76u ($238) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
8.89%
Target Hit (+75u Cap)
43.59%
216-Hand Expected Hold
4.76u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
60u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M197 (1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence, 300u bankroll, 216 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
300u / 3 Shoes (216 Hands)

Matrix cell M197 tests 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with a $50 base unit and -150u/+75u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
8.89%

Probability of hitting the -150u drawdown barrier before completing 216 hands or reaching +75u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
43.59%

Share of 216-hand trajectories reaching the +75u session ceiling, with 47.52% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (60u Cap)

A 60-unit house limit and 300-unit stack cap 1-3-2-6 escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
4.76u ($238)

Derived from 402u total action (1.86x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M197 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

1-3-2-6 300u table-capped dispersion Across 216 Hands (M197)

In multi-coup benchmark M197-1, running 1-3-2-6 across 216 deals with 300 units and a 60-unit maximum wager calibrates 402u of total handle, 4.76u in commission-weighted drift, and a 8.89% probability of exhausting the 150-unit drawdown buffer.

Case M197-2 dissects the finite-shoe 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 8.89% ruin rate while maps an average stake boundary of 1.86x and 4.76u ($238) in theoretical house-edge toll.

M197 Parameter1-3-2-6 (300u)3-Shoe dispersion
1-3-2-6 Ladder1-3-2-6 (4 steps)Peak 6u multiplier on M197
300u Stack Window216 hands (3 shoes)Barriers -150u / +75u
60u Ceiling & Ruin8.89% ruin vs 43.59% winDepth 6 steps (2 cap hits)
402u Handle & Hold4.76u ($238)Multiplier 1.86x (table-capped drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

60u Ceiling Collisions & 1-3-2-6 Turnover (3 Shoes)

In session-bounded benchmark M197-3, running 1-3-2-6 across 216 deals with 300 units and a 60-unit maximum wager evaluates 402u of total handle, 4.76u in commission-weighted drift, and a 8.89% probability of exhausting the 150-unit drawdown buffer.

Case M197-4 audits the variance-scaled 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 8.89% ruin rate while charts an average stake dispersion of 1.86x and 4.76u ($238) in theoretical house-edge toll.

  • Cell M197 rule: lock the -150u stop on your 300u 1-3-2-6 stack across 216 hands.
  • Matrix M197 measures 4.76u ($238) in house hold over 402u of 1-3-2-6 action.
  • Scoreboard check M197: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (table-capped dispersion) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 300 units to a 3-shoe session lets 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 216 hands, 1-3-2-6 generates 402u in action, 4.76u in expected loss, and a 8.89% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell 1-3-2-6 bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 216-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android