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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · 1-3-2-6 · 200U / 5-SHOE

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — 200-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Under variance-scaled boundary rules in M195-0, pairing 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with 200 units across 5 shoes (360 hands) and a 80-unit maximum measures a 18.70% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 6 adverse steps before house-edge-anchored capital-runway truncation. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-100u Stop)
18.70%
Target Hit (+50u Cap)
42.07%
360-Hand Expected Hold
7.94u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
80u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B B P P B B P P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ =
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M195 (1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence, 200u bankroll, 360 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
200u / 5 Shoes (360 Hands)

Matrix cell M195 tests 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with a $50 base unit and -100u/+50u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
18.70%

Probability of hitting the -100u drawdown barrier before completing 360 hands or reaching +50u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
42.07%

Share of 360-hand trajectories reaching the +50u session ceiling, with 39.23% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (80u Cap)

A 80-unit house limit and 200-unit stack cap 1-3-2-6 escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
7.94u ($397)

Derived from 670u total action (1.86x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M195 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

1-3-2-6 200u house-edge-anchored boundary Across 360 Hands (M195)

Audit M195-1 maps the step-indexed stake-velocity of 1-3-2-6 when anchored to 200 units and a 360-hand (5-shoe) schedule: the 80-unit maximum wager restricts recovery at step 6, locking in a 18.70% stop-loss frequency and $397 in mathematical friction.

Under eight-deck boundary rules in M195-2, pairing 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with 200 units across 5 shoes (360 hands) and a 80-unit maximum documents a 18.70% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 6 adverse steps before asymmetric envelope truncation.

M195 Parameter1-3-2-6 (200u)5-Shoe boundary
1-3-2-6 Ladder1-3-2-6 (4 steps)Peak 6u multiplier on M195
200u Stack Window360 hands (5 shoes)Barriers -100u / +50u
80u Ceiling & Ruin18.70% ruin vs 42.07% winDepth 6 steps (2 cap hits)
670u Handle & Hold7.94u ($397)Multiplier 1.86x (house-edge-anchored drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

80u Ceiling Collisions & 1-3-2-6 Turnover (5 Shoes)

Audit M195-3 benchmarks the absorbing-barrier drawdown-slope of 1-3-2-6 when anchored to 200 units and a 360-hand (5-shoe) schedule: the 80-unit maximum wager restricts recovery at step 6, locking in a 18.70% stop-loss frequency and $397 in mathematical friction.

Under bankroll-constrained boundary rules in M195-4, pairing 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with 200 units across 5 shoes (360 hands) and a 80-unit maximum models a 18.70% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 6 adverse steps before bankroll-constrained boundary truncation.

  • Cell M195 rule: lock the -100u stop on your 200u 1-3-2-6 stack across 360 hands.
  • Matrix M195 evaluates 7.94u ($397) in house hold over 670u of 1-3-2-6 action.
  • Scoreboard check M195: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (house-edge-anchored boundary) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 200 units to a 5-shoe session lets 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 360 hands, 1-3-2-6 generates 670u in action, 7.94u in expected loss, and a 18.70% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell 1-3-2-6 bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 360-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android