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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · 1-3-2-6 · 150U / 10-SHOE

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — 150-Unit Bankroll & 10-Shoe (720-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Within bankroll-constrained horizon M193-0, a 150-unit treasury backing 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence for 720 hands (10 shoes) faces a 100-unit bet cap that inspects 47.29% ruin exposure, 33.04% target attainment at +38u, and 19.67% time-limit expiration. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-75u Stop)
47.29%
Target Hit (+38u Cap)
33.04%
720-Hand Expected Hold
15.78u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
100u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M193 (1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence, 150u bankroll, 720 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
150u / 10 Shoes (720 Hands)

Matrix cell M193 tests 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with a $100 base unit and -75u/+38u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
47.29%

Probability of hitting the -75u drawdown barrier before completing 720 hands or reaching +38u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
33.04%

Share of 720-hand trajectories reaching the +38u session ceiling, with 19.67% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (100u Cap)

A 100-unit house limit and 150-unit stack cap 1-3-2-6 escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
15.78u ($1578)

Derived from 1332u total action (1.85x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M193 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

1-3-2-6 150u stochastic profile Across 720 Hands (M193)

Horizon matrix M193-1 verifies how 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) behaves inside a 150-unit session budget across 720 coups, showing that a 100-unit pit limit and 75-unit floor generate a 47.29% drawdown-trigger rate alongside 15.78u in expected 8-deck vigorish.

Within discrete-time horizon M193-2, a 150-unit treasury backing 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence for 720 hands (10 shoes) faces a 100-unit bet cap that tabulates 47.29% ruin exposure, 33.04% target attainment at +38u, and 19.67% time-limit expiration.

M193 Parameter1-3-2-6 (150u)10-Shoe profile
1-3-2-6 Ladder1-3-2-6 (4 steps)Peak 6u multiplier on M193
150u Stack Window720 hands (10 shoes)Barriers -75u / +38u
100u Ceiling & Ruin47.29% ruin vs 33.04% winDepth 6 steps (3 cap hits)
1332u Handle & Hold15.78u ($1578)Multiplier 1.85x (stochastic drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

100u Ceiling Collisions & 1-3-2-6 Turnover (10 Shoes)

Horizon matrix M193-3 quantifies how 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) behaves inside a 150-unit session budget across 720 coups, showing that a 100-unit pit limit and 75-unit floor generate a 47.29% drawdown-trigger rate alongside 15.78u in expected 8-deck vigorish.

Within asymmetric horizon M193-4, a 150-unit treasury backing 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence for 720 hands (10 shoes) faces a 100-unit bet cap that charts 47.29% ruin exposure, 33.04% target attainment at +38u, and 19.67% time-limit expiration.

  • Cell M193 rule: lock the -75u stop on your 150u 1-3-2-6 stack across 720 hands.
  • Matrix M193 profiles 15.78u ($1578) in house hold over 1332u of 1-3-2-6 action.
  • Scoreboard check M193: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (stochastic profile) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 150 units to a 10-shoe session lets 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 720 hands, 1-3-2-6 generates 1332u in action, 15.78u in expected loss, and a 47.29% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell 1-3-2-6 bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 720-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android