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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · 1-3-2-6 · 100U / 2-SHOE

1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — 100-Unit Bankroll & 2-Shoe (144-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

For a 100-unit roll spanning 144 hands (2 shoes), 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) maps a house-edge-anchored volatility-band under matrix M189-0, where the 50-unit table roof and -50u/+25u barriers yield 15.56% ruin versus 42.54% upside completion. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-50u Stop)
15.56%
Target Hit (+25u Cap)
42.54%
144-Hand Expected Hold
2.67u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
50u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M189 (1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence, 100u bankroll, 144 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
100u / 2 Shoes (144 Hands)

Matrix cell M189 tests 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence with a $25 base unit and -50u/+25u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
15.56%

Probability of hitting the -50u drawdown barrier before completing 144 hands or reaching +25u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
42.54%

Share of 144-hand trajectories reaching the +25u session ceiling, with 41.90% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (50u Cap)

A 50-unit house limit and 100-unit stack cap 1-3-2-6 escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
2.67u ($67)

Derived from 225u total action (1.56x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M189 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

1-3-2-6 100u drawdown-weighted escalation Across 144 Hands (M189)

Combinatorial ledger M189-1 documents 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) at 100 units and 144 hands (2 shoes), proving that a 50-unit table ceiling and 1.56x average bet multiplier yield 15.56% ruin probability and 2.67u in theoretical house hold.

For a 100-unit roll spanning 144 hands (2 shoes), 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) benchmarks a sequential survival-window under matrix M189-2, where the 50-unit table roof and -50u/+25u barriers yield 15.56% ruin versus 42.54% upside completion.

M189 Parameter1-3-2-6 (100u)2-Shoe escalation
1-3-2-6 Ladder1-3-2-6 (4 steps)Peak 6u multiplier on M189
100u Stack Window144 hands (2 shoes)Barriers -50u / +25u
50u Ceiling & Ruin15.56% ruin vs 42.54% winDepth 6 steps (1 cap hits)
225u Handle & Hold2.67u ($67)Multiplier 1.56x (drawdown-weighted drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

50u Ceiling Collisions & 1-3-2-6 Turnover (2 Shoes)

Combinatorial ledger M189-3 models 1-3-2-6 (1-3-2-6) at 100 units and 144 hands (2 shoes), proving that a 50-unit table ceiling and 1.56x average bet multiplier yield 15.56% ruin probability and 2.67u in theoretical house hold.

For a 100-unit roll spanning 144 hands (2 shoes), 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) computes a multi-coup progression-curve under matrix M189-4, where the 50-unit table roof and -50u/+25u barriers yield 15.56% ruin versus 42.54% upside completion.

  • Cell M189 rule: lock the -50u stop on your 100u 1-3-2-6 stack across 144 hands.
  • Matrix M189 computes 2.67u ($67) in house hold over 225u of 1-3-2-6 action.
  • Scoreboard check M189: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (drawdown-weighted escalation) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 100 units to a 2-shoe session lets 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 144 hands, 1-3-2-6 generates 225u in action, 2.67u in expected loss, and a 15.56% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell 1-3-2-6 bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 144-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android