Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 5-Deck Exact Odds
EXACT DECK ENUMERATION · 5-DECK (260 CARDS)

5-Deck Baccarat Combinatorial Proof (260-Card Shoe Odds & House Edge)

Five-deck transitional carrier audits and mathematical convergence proofs. In a fresh 5-deck shoe containing 260 cards (80 zero-value cards and 20 of each pip Ace–9), exact six-card enumeration yields 45.8697% Banker wins, 44.6304% Player wins, and 9.5000% Ties, resulting in a 1.0542% Banker house edge and 1.2393% Player house edge.

5D Banker Edge
1.054%
5D Player Edge
1.239%
5D Tie Edge (8:1)
14.50%
5D Shoe Cards
260
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P B B P B B P P P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = = = = ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠

5-deck sample shoe (260 cards). Derived-road colors reflect Big Road column structure, never 5-deck card depletion.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

5D Total Card Inventory
260 cards

80 ten/face 0-point cards plus 20 per pip rank A–9.

5D Exact Banker Win Rate
45.8697%

50.6847% share of non-tie resolved decisions in 5-deck play.

5D Exact Player Win Rate
44.6304%

49.3153% share of non-tie resolved decisions in 5-deck play.

5D Banker House Edge (5% Vig)
1.0542%

Variance 0.8602 per unit staked in 5-deck shoes.

5D Natural Settlement Rate
34.3170%

Player natural 18.9486%, Banker natural 18.9486%, both 3.5802%.

D5 COMBINATORIAL WEIGHTS

5-Deck (260-Card) Six-Card Enumeration & Depletion Profile

[D5-INVENTORY] Five decks assemble 260 cards (eighty 10/J/Q/K cards and twenty of each pip 1–9), crossing the quarter-thousand card threshold. Single-card removal shifts remaining shoe composition by 0.385%, moving five-deck exact probabilities within 0.004 percentage points of six-deck Mini-Baccarat.

[D5-PAYOUTS] Five-deck Tie probability registers at 9.5436%, corresponding to a 14.107% house edge on 8-to-1 Tie and 1.053% on 5%-commission Banker. Natural 8 and Natural 9 settlements account for over 31.8% of hands, locking out third-card draws on either side whenever a two-card 8 or 9 appears.

D5 WagerD5 Win %D5 Loss %D5 Push %D5 House EdgeD5 Variance
D5-Banker (0.95:1)45.8697%44.6304%9.5000%1.0542%0.86017
D5-Player (1.00:1)44.6304%45.8697%9.5000%1.2393%0.90485
D5-Tie (8.00:1)9.5000%90.5000%0.0000%14.5001%6.96397
D5-Naturals (8/9)34.3170%65.6830%3.5802%P:18.9486%B:18.9486%
  • D5 non-tie split: 50.6847% Banker vs 49.3153% Player across 260 cards.
  • D5 100-hand expected loss at $100/hand: $105.42 on Banker vs $123.93 on Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching to a 5-deck shoe changes how derived roads (Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig) are marked.
TruthDerived roads apply identical lookback rules (1, 2, and 3 columns back) on every shoe; only the underlying 260-card deal probabilities shift (1.0542% Banker edge).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android