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STAGE 2 · TAIL BURST VARIANCE SHOE · S2-1461 (SEED 207778)

Tail Burst Variance Shoe S2-1461: 82-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Walkthrough

Verified 8-deck shoe S2-1461 (seed 207778) documents a irregular column depth bursts alternating between 1-bead chops and 6-bead runs over 82 hands (38 Banker, 39 Player, 5 Tie). Its 37 logical columns span 37 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B) and produce 74 Big Eye Boy marks (44R/30B), 72 Small Road marks (38R/34B), and 71 Cockroach Pig marks (36R/35B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
82 (S2-1461)
Outcome Split
38B / 39P / 5T
Longest Streaks
7B · 6P
Big Road Columns
37 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 82 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

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Big Road B B P P B P B P P B P B B P P B B B B B B P B B P P P P P P B B P B B P B P B P B P P P B B B P B B P P P B B B B P P P B B B P P P B P P P P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

S2-1461 (seed 207778): 82 hands (38B / 39P / 5T), max streaks 7B & 6P across 37 columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
S2-1461 BEB Mark #6

This bead is at Row 2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 5.
  2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 5 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

S2-1461 SR Mark #6

Column 7 has 1 bead. Column 5 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 8 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 7 with Column 5, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 7 has 1 bead. Column 5 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 7, the one that just finished, with Column 5.

S2-1461 CP Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S2-1461 8-Deck Hand Count
82 Hands (38 Banker / 39 Player / 5 Tie)

Seed 207778 opening columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B (ties at H15,H53,H66,H73).

S2-1461 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 7B / Max 6P Across 37 Logical Cols (37 Display Cols)

Wide swings between depth-1 singletons and depth-6 columns test every branch of Rule 1 and Rule 2 within a single 8-deck shoe.

S2-1461 Big Eye Boy Rule Split
74 Marks (44R / 30B · 59.5% Red Across 40 Cols)

Rule 1: 35 · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 39.

S2-1461 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Split
SR: 38R/34B (52.8% Red) · CP: 36R/35B (50.7% Red)

Comparing a 6-deep burst against a 1-deep reference column produces one Case 2 Blue (≠) mark at Row 2 followed by four Case 3 Red (=) marks on Rows 3–6.

S2-1461 Hand #83 Next-Hand Probe
If B -> BEB RED, SR BLUE, CP RED | If P -> BEB BLUE, SR RED, CP BLUE

Verified via getNextRoadPredictions() at Hand #82 of S2-1461.

S2-1461 SCOREBOARD STRUCTURE

S2-1461 Column Progression (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B)

Table log S2-1461 (seed 207778) resolves 82 hands into 38B, 39P, and 5T across 37 columns (37 grid columns, C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B), capturing a irregular column depth bursts alternating between 1-bead chops and 6-bead runs. Wide swings between depth-1 singletons and depth-6 columns test every branch of Rule 1 and Rule 2 within a single 8-deck shoe.

Within S2-1461, max streaks hit 7B and 6P with ties logged at H15,H53,H66,H73; Big Eye Boy tallies 35 Rule 1 comparisons, 0 Case 1 matches, 0 Case 2 breaks, and 39 Case 3 marks.

Opening 9 Big Road Columns of S2-1461 (Seed 207778)
Col SpanBeadsTallyGrid StopDepth Pair
S2-1461-C1:H1-2S2-1461:2BS2-1461:2B/0P/+0TS2-1461:R2StopS2-1461:2vs2
S2-1461-C2:H3-4S2-1461:2PS2-1461:2B/2P/+0TS2-1461:R2StopS2-1461:2vs2
S2-1461-C3:H5-5S2-1461:1BS2-1461:3B/2P/+0TS2-1461:R1StopS2-1461:1vs2
S2-1461-C4:H6-6S2-1461:1PS2-1461:3B/3P/+0TS2-1461:R1StopS2-1461:1vs1
S2-1461-C5:H7-7S2-1461:1BS2-1461:4B/3P/+0TS2-1461:R1StopS2-1461:1vs1
S2-1461-C6:H8-9S2-1461:2PS2-1461:4B/5P/+0TS2-1461:R2StopS2-1461:2vs1
S2-1461-C7:H10-10S2-1461:1BS2-1461:5B/5P/+0TS2-1461:R1StopS2-1461:1vs2
S2-1461-C8:H11-11S2-1461:1PS2-1461:5B/6P/+0TS2-1461:R1StopS2-1461:1vs1
S2-1461-C9:H12-15S2-1461:3BS2-1461:8B/6P/+1TS2-1461:R3StopS2-1461:3vs1
  • S2-1461 BEB #6 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
  • S2-1461 SR #6 (RED): Column 7 has 1 bead. Column 5 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).
  • S2-1461 CP #2 (BLUE): Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
S2-1461 DERIVED-ROAD & NEXT-HAND PROBE

S2-1461 Lookback Audit (44R/30B BEB · 38R/34B SR · 36R/35B CP)

Comparing a 6-deep burst against a 1-deep reference column produces one Case 2 Blue (≠) mark at Row 2 followed by four Case 3 Red (=) marks on Rows 3–6. Specifically for S2-1461, BEB tallies 44 Red and 30 Blue (59.5%), SR tallies 38 Red and 34 Blue (52.8%), and CP tallies 36 Red and 35 Blue (50.7%).

In S2-1461, Hand #83 lookback projections are BEB RED, SR BLUE, CP RED if Banker wins and BEB BLUE, SR RED, CP BLUE if Player wins.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythHigh depth variance in S2-1461 breaks the derived-road rules.
TruthEvery derived-road mark in S2-1461 is deterministically resolved by Rule 1 and Rule 2 regardless of volatility.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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