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STAGE 2 · TAIL BURST VARIANCE SHOE · S2-1459 (SEED 189426)

Tail Burst Variance Shoe S2-1459: 73-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Walkthrough

Verified 8-deck shoe S2-1459 (seed 189426) documents a irregular column depth bursts alternating between 1-bead chops and 6-bead runs over 73 hands (34 Banker, 35 Player, 4 Tie). Its 38 logical columns span 38 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B) and produce 66 Big Eye Boy marks (35R/31B), 64 Small Road marks (25R/39B), and 63 Cockroach Pig marks (24R/39B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
73 (S2-1459)
Outcome Split
34B / 35P / 4T
Longest Streaks
4B · 4P
Big Road Columns
38 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 73 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

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Big Road B B P P B P B P P B B P B B B P B P B P P B B B P B B P B P P P B P P B B P P B P B B B P P P P B P B B B B P P P B B P P P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

S2-1459 (seed 189426): 73 hands (34B / 35P / 4T), max streaks 4B & 4P across 38 columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
S2-1459 BEB Mark #4

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 3, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

S2-1459 SR Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

S2-1459 CP Mark #5

This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 4.
  2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 4 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S2-1459 8-Deck Hand Count
73 Hands (34 Banker / 35 Player / 4 Tie)

Seed 189426 opening columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B (ties at H22,H27,H60,H69).

S2-1459 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 4B / Max 4P Across 38 Logical Cols (38 Display Cols)

Wide swings between depth-1 singletons and depth-6 columns test every branch of Rule 1 and Rule 2 within a single 8-deck shoe.

S2-1459 Big Eye Boy Rule Split
66 Marks (35R / 31B · 53.0% Red Across 36 Cols)

Rule 1: 36 · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 30.

S2-1459 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Split
SR: 25R/39B (39.1% Red) · CP: 24R/39B (38.1% Red)

Comparing a 6-deep burst against a 1-deep reference column produces one Case 2 Blue (≠) mark at Row 2 followed by four Case 3 Red (=) marks on Rows 3–6.

S2-1459 Hand #74 Next-Hand Probe
If B -> BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP BLUE | If P -> BEB RED, SR RED, CP RED

Verified via getNextRoadPredictions() at Hand #73 of S2-1459.

S2-1459 SCOREBOARD STRUCTURE

S2-1459 Column Progression (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B)

Big Road audit S2-1459 (seed 189426) tracks 73 hands (34 Banker, 35 Player, 4 Tie) through 38 column transitions (38 display columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B) featuring a irregular column depth bursts alternating between 1-bead chops and 6-bead runs. Wide swings between depth-1 singletons and depth-6 columns test every branch of Rule 1 and Rule 2 within a single 8-deck shoe.

Tracking S2-1459 hand by hand confirms max streaks of 4B and 4P (tie indices H22,H27,H60,H69) and Lookback-1 totals of 36 Rule 1, 0 Case 1, 0 Case 2, and 30 Case 3.

Opening 9 Big Road Columns of S2-1459 (Seed 189426)
Col SpanBeadsTallyGrid StopDepth Pair
S2-1459-C1:H1-2S2-1459:2BS2-1459:2B/0P/+0TS2-1459:R2StopS2-1459:2vs2
S2-1459-C2:H3-4S2-1459:2PS2-1459:2B/2P/+0TS2-1459:R2StopS2-1459:2vs2
S2-1459-C3:H5-5S2-1459:1BS2-1459:3B/2P/+0TS2-1459:R1StopS2-1459:1vs2
S2-1459-C4:H6-6S2-1459:1PS2-1459:3B/3P/+0TS2-1459:R1StopS2-1459:1vs1
S2-1459-C5:H7-7S2-1459:1BS2-1459:4B/3P/+0TS2-1459:R1StopS2-1459:1vs1
S2-1459-C6:H8-9S2-1459:2PS2-1459:4B/5P/+0TS2-1459:R2StopS2-1459:2vs1
S2-1459-C7:H10-11S2-1459:2BS2-1459:6B/5P/+0TS2-1459:R2StopS2-1459:2vs2
S2-1459-C8:H12-12S2-1459:1PS2-1459:6B/6P/+0TS2-1459:R1StopS2-1459:1vs2
S2-1459-C9:H13-15S2-1459:3BS2-1459:9B/6P/+0TS2-1459:R3StopS2-1459:3vs1
  • S2-1459 BEB #4 (RED): Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).
  • S2-1459 SR #2 (BLUE): Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
  • S2-1459 CP #5 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
S2-1459 DERIVED-ROAD & NEXT-HAND PROBE

S2-1459 Lookback Audit (35R/31B BEB · 25R/39B SR · 24R/39B CP)

When S2-1459 reaches the cut card, BEB shows 35R/31B (53.0% Red), SR shows 25R/39B (39.1% Red), and CP shows 24R/39B (38.1% Red). Comparing a 6-deep burst against a 1-deep reference column produces one Case 2 Blue (≠) mark at Row 2 followed by four Case 3 Red (=) marks on Rows 3–6.

Probing Hand #74 at the end of S2-1459 via getNextRoadPredictions() yields Banker -> BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP BLUE and Player -> BEB RED, SR RED, CP RED; each deal remains statistically independent.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythHigh depth variance in S2-1459 breaks the derived-road rules.
TruthEvery derived-road mark in S2-1459 is deterministically resolved by Rule 1 and Rule 2 regardless of volatility.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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