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STAGE 2 · TAIL BURST VARIANCE SHOE · S2-1446 (SEED 70138)

Tail Burst Variance Shoe S2-1446: 76-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Walkthrough

Verified 8-deck shoe S2-1446 (seed 70138) documents a irregular column depth bursts alternating between 1-bead chops and 6-bead runs over 76 hands (39 Banker, 32 Player, 5 Tie). Its 39 logical columns span 39 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:4B) and produce 68 Big Eye Boy marks (31R/37B), 66 Small Road marks (26R/40B), and 65 Cockroach Pig marks (24R/41B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
76 (S2-1446)
Outcome Split
39B / 32P / 5T
Longest Streaks
4B · 3P
Big Road Columns
39 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 76 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

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Big Road B B P P B P B P P B B B B P B B B P B P P B P B B P P B B P B B P B P P B P P B B P B P P P B B B P B P B B P B B P P P B P P B B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠

S2-1446 (seed 70138): 76 hands (39B / 32P / 5T), max streaks 4B & 3P across 39 columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
S2-1446 BEB Mark #7

Column 6 has 2 beads. Column 5 has 1 bead. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 6 with Column 5, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 6 has 2 beads. Column 5 has 1 bead. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 5.

S2-1446 SR Mark #6

This bead is at Row 2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 5.
  2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 5 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

S2-1446 CP Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S2-1446 8-Deck Hand Count
76 Hands (39 Banker / 32 Player / 5 Tie)

Seed 70138 opening columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:4B (ties at H21,H40,H43,H57).

S2-1446 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 4B / Max 3P Across 39 Logical Cols (39 Display Cols)

Wide swings between depth-1 singletons and depth-6 columns test every branch of Rule 1 and Rule 2 within a single 8-deck shoe.

S2-1446 Big Eye Boy Rule Split
68 Marks (31R / 37B · 45.6% Red Across 37 Cols)

Rule 1: 37 · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 31.

S2-1446 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Split
SR: 26R/40B (39.4% Red) · CP: 24R/41B (36.9% Red)

Comparing a 6-deep burst against a 1-deep reference column produces one Case 2 Blue (≠) mark at Row 2 followed by four Case 3 Red (=) marks on Rows 3–6.

S2-1446 Hand #77 Next-Hand Probe
If B -> BEB RED, SR RED, CP RED | If P -> BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP BLUE

Verified via getNextRoadPredictions() at Hand #76 of S2-1446.

S2-1446 SCOREBOARD STRUCTURE

S2-1446 Column Progression (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:4B)

Recording 39 Banker wins, 32 Player wins, and 5 Ties over 76 hands, catalog entry S2-1446 (seed 70138) maps 39 logical columns onto 39 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:4B) as a irregular column depth bursts alternating between 1-bead chops and 6-bead runs. Wide swings between depth-1 singletons and depth-6 columns test every branch of Rule 1 and Rule 2 within a single 8-deck shoe.

Auditing S2-1446 shows maximum runs of 4B and 3P (ties at H21,H40,H43,H57) alongside 37 Rule 1 checks, 0 Case 1 checks, 0 Case 2 checks, and 31 Case 3 checks.

Opening 9 Big Road Columns of S2-1446 (Seed 70138)
Col SpanBeadsTallyGrid StopDepth Pair
S2-1446-C1:H1-2S2-1446:2BS2-1446:2B/0P/+0TS2-1446:R2StopS2-1446:2vs2
S2-1446-C2:H3-4S2-1446:2PS2-1446:2B/2P/+0TS2-1446:R2StopS2-1446:2vs2
S2-1446-C3:H5-5S2-1446:1BS2-1446:3B/2P/+0TS2-1446:R1StopS2-1446:1vs2
S2-1446-C4:H6-6S2-1446:1PS2-1446:3B/3P/+0TS2-1446:R1StopS2-1446:1vs1
S2-1446-C5:H7-7S2-1446:1BS2-1446:4B/3P/+0TS2-1446:R1StopS2-1446:1vs1
S2-1446-C6:H8-9S2-1446:2PS2-1446:4B/5P/+0TS2-1446:R2StopS2-1446:2vs1
S2-1446-C7:H10-13S2-1446:4BS2-1446:8B/5P/+0TS2-1446:R4StopS2-1446:4vs2
S2-1446-C8:H14-14S2-1446:1PS2-1446:8B/6P/+0TS2-1446:R1StopS2-1446:1vs4
S2-1446-C9:H15-17S2-1446:3BS2-1446:11B/6P/+0TS2-1446:R3StopS2-1446:3vs1
  • S2-1446 BEB #7 (BLUE): Column 6 has 2 beads. Column 5 has 1 bead. Different depth → blue (≠).
  • S2-1446 SR #6 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
  • S2-1446 CP #2 (BLUE): Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
S2-1446 DERIVED-ROAD & NEXT-HAND PROBE

S2-1446 Lookback Audit (31R/37B BEB · 26R/40B SR · 24R/41B CP)

On the lower boards of S2-1446, Big Eye Boy marks 31R/37B (45.6% Red), Small Road marks 26R/40B (39.4% Red), and Cockroach Pig marks 24R/41B (36.9% Red). Comparing a 6-deep burst against a 1-deep reference column produces one Case 2 Blue (≠) mark at Row 2 followed by four Case 3 Red (=) marks on Rows 3–6.

Hand #77 projection table for S2-1446: Banker triggers BEB RED, SR RED, CP RED; Player triggers BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP BLUE.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythHigh depth variance in S2-1446 breaks the derived-road rules.
TruthEvery derived-road mark in S2-1446 is deterministically resolved by Rule 1 and Rule 2 regardless of volatility.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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