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STAGE 2 · EARLY TIE CLUSTER · S2-0419 (SEED 538304)

Early Tie Cluster S2-0419: 84-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Walkthrough

Verified 8-deck shoe S2-0419 (seed 538304) documents a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes over 84 hands (36 Banker, 40 Player, 8 Tie). Its 42 logical columns span 42 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B) and produce 73 Big Eye Boy marks (42R/31B), 71 Small Road marks (37R/34B), and 70 Cockroach Pig marks (31R/39B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
84 (S2-0419)
Outcome Split
36B / 40P / 8T
Longest Streaks
5B · 4P
Big Road Columns
42 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 84 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

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Big Road B B P P B P B P P B B P P P P B P B P P B B P P B B B B B P P B B B P P P P B P B P B P B P P B B B P P P B P B P B P B B P P P P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

S2-0419 (seed 538304): 84 hands (36B / 40P / 8T), max streaks 5B & 4P across 42 columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
S2-0419 BEB Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

S2-0419 SR Mark #4

This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 4.
  2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 4 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

S2-0419 CP Mark #5

This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 4.
  2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 4 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S2-0419 8-Deck Hand Count
84 Hands (36 Banker / 40 Player / 8 Tie)

Seed 538304 opening columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B (ties at H17,H22,H27,H42).

S2-0419 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 5B / Max 4P Across 42 Logical Cols (42 Display Cols)

Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

S2-0419 Big Eye Boy Rule Split
73 Marks (42R / 31B · 57.5% Red Across 38 Cols)

Rule 1: 40 · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 33.

S2-0419 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Split
SR: 37R/34B (52.1% Red) · CP: 31R/39B (44.3% Red)

Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged.

S2-0419 Hand #85 Next-Hand Probe
If B -> BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP BLUE | If P -> BEB RED, SR RED, CP RED

Verified via getNextRoadPredictions() at Hand #84 of S2-0419.

S2-0419 SCOREBOARD STRUCTURE

S2-0419 Column Progression (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B)

Across 84 8-deck deals in S2-0419 (seed 538304), the scoreboard logs 36B, 40P, and 8T in 42 logical columns (42 display columns, C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:2B), showcasing a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes. Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

Streak ceilings in S2-0419 stand at 5B and 4P (tie positions H17,H22,H27,H42), generating 40 Rule 1, 0 Case 1, 0 Case 2, and 33 Case 3 Big Eye Boy evaluations.

Opening 9 Big Road Columns of S2-0419 (Seed 538304)
Col SpanBeadsTallyGrid StopDepth Pair
S2-0419-C1:H1-2S2-0419:2BS2-0419:2B/0P/+0TS2-0419:R2StopS2-0419:2vs2
S2-0419-C2:H3-4S2-0419:2PS2-0419:2B/2P/+0TS2-0419:R2StopS2-0419:2vs2
S2-0419-C3:H5-5S2-0419:1BS2-0419:3B/2P/+0TS2-0419:R1StopS2-0419:1vs2
S2-0419-C4:H6-6S2-0419:1PS2-0419:3B/3P/+0TS2-0419:R1StopS2-0419:1vs1
S2-0419-C5:H7-7S2-0419:1BS2-0419:4B/3P/+0TS2-0419:R1StopS2-0419:1vs1
S2-0419-C6:H8-9S2-0419:2PS2-0419:4B/5P/+0TS2-0419:R2StopS2-0419:2vs1
S2-0419-C7:H10-11S2-0419:2BS2-0419:6B/5P/+0TS2-0419:R2StopS2-0419:2vs2
S2-0419-C8:H12-15S2-0419:4PS2-0419:6B/9P/+0TS2-0419:R4StopS2-0419:4vs2
S2-0419-C9:H16-18S2-0419:2BS2-0419:8B/9P/+1TS2-0419:R2StopS2-0419:2vs4
  • S2-0419 BEB #2 (RED): Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
  • S2-0419 SR #4 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
  • S2-0419 CP #5 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
S2-0419 DERIVED-ROAD & NEXT-HAND PROBE

S2-0419 Lookback Audit (42R/31B BEB · 37R/34B SR · 31R/39B CP)

Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged. Consequently, S2-0419 closes with BEB 42R/31B (57.5% Red), SR 37R/34B (52.1% Red), and CP 31R/39B (44.3% Red).

Checking Hand #85 on S2-0419 shows that Banker and Player split derived marks into (BLUE/BLUE/BLUE) versus (RED/RED/RED).

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBack-to-back Ties in S2-0419 reset the current column and force a Blue derived-road mark.
TruthTies in S2-0419 record as green slashes on the active bead without altering any logical column depth.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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