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STAGE 2 · EARLY TIE CLUSTER · S2-0415 (SEED 501600)

Early Tie Cluster S2-0415: 73-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Walkthrough

Verified 8-deck shoe S2-0415 (seed 501600) documents a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes over 73 hands (31 Banker, 30 Player, 12 Tie). Its 30 logical columns span 30 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B) and produce 58 Big Eye Boy marks (30R/28B), 56 Small Road marks (25R/31B), and 55 Cockroach Pig marks (22R/33B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
73 (S2-0415)
Outcome Split
31B / 30P / 12T
Longest Streaks
7B · 7P
Big Road Columns
30 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 73 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P B P B B B B B B B P P P B B P P P P P B P P P P B B P B P B P B B P B P B B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

S2-0415 (seed 501600): 73 hands (31B / 30P / 12T), max streaks 7B & 7P across 30 columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
S2-0415 BEB Mark #6

This bead is at Row 2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 5.
  2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 5 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

S2-0415 SR Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

S2-0415 CP Mark #1

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S2-0415 8-Deck Hand Count
73 Hands (31 Banker / 30 Player / 12 Tie)

Seed 501600 opening columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B (ties at H13,H15,H21,H25).

S2-0415 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 7B / Max 7P Across 30 Logical Cols (30 Display Cols)

Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

S2-0415 Big Eye Boy Rule Split
58 Marks (30R / 28B · 51.7% Red Across 30 Cols)

Rule 1: 28 · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 30.

S2-0415 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Split
SR: 25R/31B (44.6% Red) · CP: 22R/33B (40.0% Red)

Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged.

S2-0415 Hand #74 Next-Hand Probe
If B -> BEB BLUE, SR RED, CP BLUE | If P -> BEB RED, SR BLUE, CP RED

Verified via getNextRoadPredictions() at Hand #73 of S2-0415.

S2-0415 SCOREBOARD STRUCTURE

S2-0415 Column Progression (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B)

Inside shoe S2-0415 (deterministic seed 501600), 73 dealt outcomes split 31 Banker, 30 Player, and 12 Tie across 30 Big Road columns (30 grid columns; opening sequence C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B) to illustrate a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes. Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

Across S2-0415, top streaks of 7B and 7P and tie index set H13,H15,H21,H25 yield 28 Rule 1 marks, 0 Case 1 marks, 0 Case 2 marks, and 30 Case 3 marks on Lookback 1.

Opening 9 Big Road Columns of S2-0415 (Seed 501600)
Col SpanBeadsTallyGrid StopDepth Pair
S2-0415-C1:H1-2S2-0415:2BS2-0415:2B/0P/+0TS2-0415:R2StopS2-0415:2vs2
S2-0415-C2:H3-4S2-0415:2PS2-0415:2B/2P/+0TS2-0415:R2StopS2-0415:2vs2
S2-0415-C3:H5-5S2-0415:1BS2-0415:3B/2P/+0TS2-0415:R1StopS2-0415:1vs2
S2-0415-C4:H6-6S2-0415:1PS2-0415:3B/3P/+0TS2-0415:R1StopS2-0415:1vs1
S2-0415-C5:H7-7S2-0415:1BS2-0415:4B/3P/+0TS2-0415:R1StopS2-0415:1vs1
S2-0415-C6:H8-9S2-0415:2PS2-0415:4B/5P/+0TS2-0415:R2StopS2-0415:2vs1
S2-0415-C7:H10-10S2-0415:1BS2-0415:5B/5P/+0TS2-0415:R1StopS2-0415:1vs2
S2-0415-C8:H11-15S2-0415:3PS2-0415:5B/8P/+2TS2-0415:R3StopS2-0415:3vs1
S2-0415-C9:H16-23S2-0415:7BS2-0415:12B/8P/+1TS2-0415:Row6+1RS2-0415:7vs3
  • S2-0415 BEB #6 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 5 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
  • S2-0415 SR #2 (BLUE): Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
  • S2-0415 CP #1 (BLUE): Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
S2-0415 DERIVED-ROAD & NEXT-HAND PROBE

S2-0415 Lookback Audit (30R/28B BEB · 25R/31B SR · 22R/33B CP)

Lookback audit S2-0415 records 30R/28B (51.7% Red) on Big Eye Boy, 25R/31B (44.6% Red) on Small Road, and 22R/33B (40.0% Red) on Cockroach Pig. Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged.

Should S2-0415 deal Hand #74, ?B records BEB BLUE, SR RED, CP BLUE while ?P records BEB RED, SR BLUE, CP RED across the three derived grids.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBack-to-back Ties in S2-0415 reset the current column and force a Blue derived-road mark.
TruthTies in S2-0415 record as green slashes on the active bead without altering any logical column depth.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android