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STAGE 2 · EARLY TIE CLUSTER · S2-0409 (SEED 446544)

Early Tie Cluster S2-0409: 74-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Walkthrough

Verified 8-deck shoe S2-0409 (seed 446544) documents a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes over 74 hands (34 Banker, 30 Player, 10 Tie). Its 32 logical columns span 32 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:7B) and produce 61 Big Eye Boy marks (35R/26B), 59 Small Road marks (29R/30B), and 58 Cockroach Pig marks (29R/29B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
74 (S2-0409)
Outcome Split
34B / 30P / 10T
Longest Streaks
7B · 7P
Big Road Columns
32 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 74 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P B B B B B B P B P B B P P B B B P P P B P B B B B P P B B B P P P P P P B P P P B B B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠

S2-0409 (seed 446544): 74 hands (34B / 30P / 10T), max streaks 7B & 7P across 32 columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
S2-0409 BEB Mark #8

This bead is at Row 2. Column 6 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 7 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 6.
  2. Column 6 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 6 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

S2-0409 SR Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

S2-0409 CP Mark #5

This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 4.
  2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 4 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S2-0409 8-Deck Hand Count
74 Hands (34 Banker / 30 Player / 10 Tie)

Seed 446544 opening columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:7B (ties at H17,H25,H28,H43).

S2-0409 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 7B / Max 7P Across 32 Logical Cols (32 Display Cols)

Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

S2-0409 Big Eye Boy Rule Split
61 Marks (35R / 26B · 57.4% Red Across 35 Cols)

Rule 1: 30 · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 31.

S2-0409 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Split
SR: 29R/30B (49.2% Red) · CP: 29R/29B (50.0% Red)

Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged.

S2-0409 Hand #75 Next-Hand Probe
If B -> BEB RED, SR RED, CP BLUE | If P -> BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP RED

Verified via getNextRoadPredictions() at Hand #74 of S2-0409.

S2-0409 SCOREBOARD STRUCTURE

S2-0409 Column Progression (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:7B)

Big Road audit S2-0409 (seed 446544) tracks 74 hands (34 Banker, 30 Player, 10 Tie) through 32 column transitions (32 display columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:7B) featuring a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes. Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

Tracking S2-0409 hand by hand confirms max streaks of 7B and 7P (tie indices H17,H25,H28,H43) and Lookback-1 totals of 30 Rule 1, 0 Case 1, 0 Case 2, and 31 Case 3.

Opening 9 Big Road Columns of S2-0409 (Seed 446544)
Col SpanBeadsTallyGrid StopDepth Pair
S2-0409-C1:H1-2S2-0409:2BS2-0409:2B/0P/+0TS2-0409:R2StopS2-0409:2vs2
S2-0409-C2:H3-4S2-0409:2PS2-0409:2B/2P/+0TS2-0409:R2StopS2-0409:2vs2
S2-0409-C3:H5-5S2-0409:1BS2-0409:3B/2P/+0TS2-0409:R1StopS2-0409:1vs2
S2-0409-C4:H6-6S2-0409:1PS2-0409:3B/3P/+0TS2-0409:R1StopS2-0409:1vs1
S2-0409-C5:H7-7S2-0409:1BS2-0409:4B/3P/+0TS2-0409:R1StopS2-0409:1vs1
S2-0409-C6:H8-9S2-0409:2PS2-0409:4B/5P/+0TS2-0409:R2StopS2-0409:2vs1
S2-0409-C7:H10-17S2-0409:7BS2-0409:11B/5P/+1TS2-0409:Row6+1RS2-0409:7vs2
S2-0409-C8:H18-18S2-0409:1PS2-0409:11B/6P/+0TS2-0409:R1StopS2-0409:1vs7
S2-0409-C9:H19-19S2-0409:1BS2-0409:12B/6P/+0TS2-0409:R1StopS2-0409:1vs1
  • S2-0409 BEB #8 (RED): This bead is at Row 2. Column 6 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
  • S2-0409 SR #2 (BLUE): Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
  • S2-0409 CP #5 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
S2-0409 DERIVED-ROAD & NEXT-HAND PROBE

S2-0409 Lookback Audit (35R/26B BEB · 29R/30B SR · 29R/29B CP)

When S2-0409 reaches the cut card, BEB shows 35R/26B (57.4% Red), SR shows 29R/30B (49.2% Red), and CP shows 29R/29B (50.0% Red). Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged.

Probing Hand #75 at the end of S2-0409 via getNextRoadPredictions() yields Banker -> BEB RED, SR RED, CP BLUE and Player -> BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP RED; each deal remains statistically independent.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBack-to-back Ties in S2-0409 reset the current column and force a Blue derived-road mark.
TruthTies in S2-0409 record as green slashes on the active bead without altering any logical column depth.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android