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STAGE 2 · EARLY TIE CLUSTER · S2-0404 (SEED 400664)

Early Tie Cluster S2-0404: 78-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Walkthrough

Verified 8-deck shoe S2-0404 (seed 400664) documents a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes over 78 hands (32 Banker, 41 Player, 5 Tie). Its 37 logical columns span 37 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B) and produce 70 Big Eye Boy marks (36R/34B), 68 Small Road marks (36R/32B), and 67 Cockroach Pig marks (32R/35B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
78 (S2-0404)
Outcome Split
32B / 41P / 5T
Longest Streaks
4B · 5P
Big Road Columns
37 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 78 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P B P P P B P P B P P P P P B P B P P P B B B P B B B P P B B B B P P B P P P P B P P P P P P B B P B B P B P B P B B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ =

S2-0404 (seed 400664): 78 hands (32B / 41P / 5T), max streaks 4B & 5P across 37 columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
S2-0404 BEB Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

S2-0404 SR Mark #4

This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 4.
  2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 4 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

S2-0404 CP Mark #5

Column 7 has 1 bead. Column 4 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 8 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 7 with Column 4, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 7 has 1 bead. Column 4 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 7, the one that just finished, with Column 4.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S2-0404 8-Deck Hand Count
78 Hands (32 Banker / 41 Player / 5 Tie)

Seed 400664 opening columns: C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B (ties at H28,H46,H48,H58).

S2-0404 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 4B / Max 5P Across 37 Logical Cols (37 Display Cols)

Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

S2-0404 Big Eye Boy Rule Split
70 Marks (36R / 34B · 51.4% Red Across 37 Cols)

Rule 1: 35 · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 35.

S2-0404 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Split
SR: 36R/32B (52.9% Red) · CP: 32R/35B (47.8% Red)

Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged.

S2-0404 Hand #79 Next-Hand Probe
If B -> BEB RED, SR RED, CP RED | If P -> BEB BLUE, SR BLUE, CP BLUE

Verified via getNextRoadPredictions() at Hand #78 of S2-0404.

S2-0404 SCOREBOARD STRUCTURE

S2-0404 Column Progression (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B)

With 32B, 41P, and 5T in 78 hands, S2-0404 (seed 400664) builds 37 logical columns across 37 display columns (C1:2B C2:2P C3:1B C4:1P C5:1B C6:2P C7:1B) to highlight a multi-tie bursts in the opening third of the shoe attached as green slashes. Ties never advance a Big Road column or start a new cell; getBigRoadColumns() attaches each Tie to the prior decided bead via tiesAfter.

With ties landing at H28,H46,H48,H58 and streaks peaking at 4B/5P, S2-0404 records 35 Rule 1, 0 Rule 2 Case 1, 0 Case 2, and 35 Case 3 marks on Big Eye Boy.

Opening 9 Big Road Columns of S2-0404 (Seed 400664)
Col SpanBeadsTallyGrid StopDepth Pair
S2-0404-C1:H1-2S2-0404:2BS2-0404:2B/0P/+0TS2-0404:R2StopS2-0404:2vs2
S2-0404-C2:H3-4S2-0404:2PS2-0404:2B/2P/+0TS2-0404:R2StopS2-0404:2vs2
S2-0404-C3:H5-5S2-0404:1BS2-0404:3B/2P/+0TS2-0404:R1StopS2-0404:1vs2
S2-0404-C4:H6-6S2-0404:1PS2-0404:3B/3P/+0TS2-0404:R1StopS2-0404:1vs1
S2-0404-C5:H7-7S2-0404:1BS2-0404:4B/3P/+0TS2-0404:R1StopS2-0404:1vs1
S2-0404-C6:H8-9S2-0404:2PS2-0404:4B/5P/+0TS2-0404:R2StopS2-0404:2vs1
S2-0404-C7:H10-10S2-0404:1BS2-0404:5B/5P/+0TS2-0404:R1StopS2-0404:1vs2
S2-0404-C8:H11-13S2-0404:3PS2-0404:5B/8P/+0TS2-0404:R3StopS2-0404:3vs1
S2-0404-C9:H14-14S2-0404:1BS2-0404:6B/8P/+0TS2-0404:R1StopS2-0404:1vs3
  • S2-0404 BEB #3 (BLUE): Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
  • S2-0404 SR #4 (BLUE): This bead is at Row 2. Column 4 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
  • S2-0404 CP #5 (RED): Column 7 has 1 bead. Column 4 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).
S2-0404 DERIVED-ROAD & NEXT-HAND PROBE

S2-0404 Lookback Audit (36R/34B BEB · 36R/32B SR · 32R/35B CP)

Summarizing S2-0404 across derived roads: BEB prints 36R/34B (51.4% Red), SR prints 36R/32B (52.9% Red), and CP prints 32R/35B (47.8% Red). Because derived roads inspect only Banker and Player column depths, early Tie clusters leave Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig unchanged.

If Hand #79 were dealt in S2-0404, a Banker outcome would mark BEB RED / SR RED / CP RED whereas a Player outcome would mark BEB BLUE / SR BLUE / CP BLUE under deterministic lookback rules.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBack-to-back Ties in S2-0404 reset the current column and force a Blue derived-road mark.
TruthTies in S2-0404 record as green slashes on the active bead without altering any logical column depth.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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