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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP280] · 82% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 341/416 Cards (82%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #280

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP280, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 18 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 75 unseen cards (24.00% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -37 bps.

DEP280 Shoe Depth
341/416 (82%)
DEP280 0s Density
18/75 (24.00%)
DEP280 Draw Delta
-37 bps
DEP280 Tableau Gate
B6vP9:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP280 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 18/75).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP280 Penetration Depth
341 Dealt / 75 Remaining (82%)

Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP280 Rank 0s Supply
18 of 128 Remaining (24.00%)

Compares depleted density 24.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP280 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -37 bps / B-Stand 38 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP280 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 9) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP280 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+9=2 vs B(3+3)=6 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP280.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP280

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 341 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP280)

Under combinatorial state [DEP280] (82% penetration, 75 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 18/75 (24.00% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7 fires.

[DEP280-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP280], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -37 bps and Banker stand rate by 38 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9]=false invariably stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP280 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 341/416 Cards)
DEP280 MetricDEP280 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP280 At 341 DealtDEP280 Tableau Effect
[DEP280:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)75 Left (82% Dealt)Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)
[DEP280:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)18/75 (24.00%)Point Value 0
[DEP280:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -37 bps / B 38 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP280:Hand]P=3 vs B=6, P3=9P=2 vs B=65c (B)
  • [DEP280-1] Verify [DEP280] 75 unseen cards remain after 341/416 exit.
  • [DEP280-2] Compare [DEP280] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (18/75=24.00%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP280-3] Apply [DEP280] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP280

Why DEP280 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP280-C8] Auditioning [DEP280] at depth, Player opens 3 + 9 -> 2 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP280]). Across [DEP280] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP280] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 18/75 in DEP280, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 341/416 cards in DEP280 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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