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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP196] · 70% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #196

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP196, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 33 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 125 unseen cards (26.40% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -15 bps.

DEP196 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP196 0s Density
33/125 (26.40%)
DEP196 Draw Delta
-15 bps
DEP196 Tableau Gate
B5vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B B B P B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP196 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 33/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP196 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP196 Rank 0s Supply
33 of 128 Remaining (26.40%)

Compares depleted density 26.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP196 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -15 bps / B-Stand 34 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP196 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP196 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+7=0 vs B(2+3)=5 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP196.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP196

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 291 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP196)

Under combinatorial state [DEP196] (70% penetration, 125 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 33/125 (26.40% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7 fires.

[DEP196-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP196], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -15 bps and Banker stand rate by 34 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7]=true invariably draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP196 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP196 MetricDEP196 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP196 At 291 DealtDEP196 Tableau Effect
[DEP196:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP196:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)33/125 (26.40%)Point Value 0
[DEP196:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -15 bps / B 34 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP196:Hand]P=3 vs B=5, P3=7P=0 vs B=56c (B)
  • [DEP196-1] Verify [DEP196] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP196-2] Compare [DEP196] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (33/125=26.40%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP196-3] Apply [DEP196] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP196

Why DEP196 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP196-C5] Auditioning [DEP196] at depth, Player opens 3 + 7 -> 0 while Banker opens 5 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP196]). Across [DEP196] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP196] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 33/125 in DEP196, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP196 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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