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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP042] · 55% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #42

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP042, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 55 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 187 unseen cards (29.41% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -13 bps.

DEP042 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP042 0s Density
55/187 (29.41%)
DEP042 Draw Delta
-13 bps
DEP042 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P B B B P P P B B B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP042 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 55/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP042 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP042 Rank 0s Supply
55 of 128 Remaining (29.41%)

Compares depleted density 29.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP042 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -13 bps / B-Stand 37 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP042 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP042 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+8=3 vs B(10+3)=3 (T)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP042.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP042

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 229 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP042)

Under combinatorial state [DEP042] (55% penetration, 187 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 55/187 (29.41% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8 fires.

[DEP042-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP042], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -13 bps and Banker stand rate by 37 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false invariably stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP042 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP042 MetricDEP042 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP042 At 229 DealtDEP042 Tableau Effect
[DEP042:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP042:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)55/187 (29.41%)Point Value 0
[DEP042:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -13 bps / B 37 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP042:Hand]P=5 vs B=3, P3=8P=3 vs B=35c (T)
  • [DEP042-1] Verify [DEP042] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP042-2] Compare [DEP042] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (55/187=29.41%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP042-3] Apply [DEP042] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c T).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP042

Why DEP042 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP042-C6] Auditioning [DEP042] at depth, Player opens 5 + 8 -> 3 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (T in [DEP042]). Across [DEP042] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging T onto [DEP042] BBPPBPBBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 55/187 in DEP042, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP042 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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