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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP308] · 40% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #308

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP308, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 72 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 250 unseen cards (28.80% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -39 bps.

DEP308 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP308 0s Density
72/250 (28.80%)
DEP308 Draw Delta
-39 bps
DEP308 Tableau Gate
B2vP3:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B B B P B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP308 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 72/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP308 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP308 Rank 0s Supply
72 of 128 Remaining (28.80%)

Compares depleted density 28.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP308 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -39 bps / B-Stand 29 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP308 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP308 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+3=4 vs B(10+2)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP308.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP308

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 166 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP308)

Under combinatorial state [DEP308] (40% penetration, 250 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 72/250 (28.80% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate fires.

[DEP308-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP308], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -39 bps and Banker stand rate by 29 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3]=true invariably draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP308 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP308 MetricDEP308 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP308 At 166 DealtDEP308 Tableau Effect
[DEP308:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP308:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)72/250 (28.80%)Point Value 0
[DEP308:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -39 bps / B 29 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP308:Hand]P=1 vs B=2, P3=3P=4 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP308-1] Verify [DEP308] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP308-2] Compare [DEP308] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (72/250=28.80%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP308-3] Apply [DEP308] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP308

Why DEP308 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP308-C9] Auditioning [DEP308] at depth, Player opens 1 + 3 -> 4 while Banker opens 2 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP308]). Across [DEP308] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP308] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 72/250 in DEP308, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP308 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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