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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP098] · 40% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #98

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP098, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 74 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 250 unseen cards (29.60% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -25 bps.

DEP098 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP098 0s Density
74/250 (29.60%)
DEP098 Draw Delta
-25 bps
DEP098 Tableau Gate
B4vP3:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P P B B B B P P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP098 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 74/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP098 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP098 Rank 0s Supply
74 of 128 Remaining (29.60%)

Compares depleted density 29.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP098 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -25 bps / B-Stand 19 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP098 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP098 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+3=4 vs B(2+2)=5 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP098.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP098

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 166 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP098)

Under combinatorial state [DEP098] (40% penetration, 250 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 74/250 (29.60% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7 fires.

[DEP098-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP098], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -25 bps and Banker stand rate by 19 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3]=true invariably draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP098 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP098 MetricDEP098 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP098 At 166 DealtDEP098 Tableau Effect
[DEP098:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP098:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)74/250 (29.60%)Point Value 0
[DEP098:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -25 bps / B 19 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP098:Hand]P=1 vs B=4, P3=3P=4 vs B=56c (B)
  • [DEP098-1] Verify [DEP098] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP098-2] Compare [DEP098] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (74/250=29.60%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP098-3] Apply [DEP098] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP098

Why DEP098 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP098-C8] Auditioning [DEP098] at depth, Player opens 1 + 3 -> 4 while Banker opens 4 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP098]). Across [DEP098] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP098] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 74/250 in DEP098, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP098 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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