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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP028] · 40% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #28

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP028, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 72 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 250 unseen cards (28.80% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -45 bps.

DEP028 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP028 0s Density
72/250 (28.80%)
DEP028 Draw Delta
-45 bps
DEP028 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P P P B B B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP028 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 72/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP028 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP028 Rank 0s Supply
72 of 128 Remaining (28.80%)

Compares depleted density 28.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP028 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -45 bps / B-Stand 26 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP028 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP028 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+8=1 vs B(10+3)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP028.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP028

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 166 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP028)

Under combinatorial state [DEP028] (40% penetration, 250 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 72/250 (28.80% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8 fires.

[DEP028-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP028], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -45 bps and Banker stand rate by 26 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false invariably stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP028 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP028 MetricDEP028 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP028 At 166 DealtDEP028 Tableau Effect
[DEP028:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP028:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)72/250 (28.80%)Point Value 0
[DEP028:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -45 bps / B 26 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP028:Hand]P=3 vs B=3, P3=8P=1 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP028-1] Verify [DEP028] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP028-2] Compare [DEP028] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (72/250=28.80%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP028-3] Apply [DEP028] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP028

Why DEP028 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP028-C12] Auditioning [DEP028] at depth, Player opens 3 + 8 -> 1 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP028]). Across [DEP028] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP028] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 72/250 in DEP028, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP028 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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