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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP294] · 25% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #294

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP294, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 93 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 312 unseen cards (29.81% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -34 bps.

DEP294 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP294 0s Density
93/312 (29.81%)
DEP294 Draw Delta
-34 bps
DEP294 Tableau Gate
B2vP1:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P P P B B B B P B B P P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP294 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 93/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP294 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP294 Rank 0s Supply
93 of 128 Remaining (29.81%)

Compares depleted density 29.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP294 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -34 bps / B-Stand 18 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP294 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 1) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP294 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+A=6 vs B(10+2)=7 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP294.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP294

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 104 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP294)

Under combinatorial state [DEP294] (25% penetration, 312 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 93/312 (29.81% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate fires.

[DEP294-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP294], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -34 bps and Banker stand rate by 18 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1]=true invariably draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP294 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP294 MetricDEP294 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP294 At 104 DealtDEP294 Tableau Effect
[DEP294:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP294:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)93/312 (29.81%)Point Value 0
[DEP294:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -34 bps / B 18 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP294:Hand]P=5 vs B=2, P3=1P=6 vs B=76c (B)
  • [DEP294-1] Verify [DEP294] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP294-2] Compare [DEP294] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (93/312=29.81%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP294-3] Apply [DEP294] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP294

Why DEP294 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP294-C2] Auditioning [DEP294] at depth, Player opens 5 + 1 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP294]). Across [DEP294] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP294] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 93/312 in DEP294, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP294 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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