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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP154] · 25% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #154

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP154, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 93 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 312 unseen cards (29.81% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -37 bps.

DEP154 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP154 0s Density
93/312 (29.81%)
DEP154 Draw Delta
-37 bps
DEP154 Tableau Gate
B5vP5:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P B B B P P P B B B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP154 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 93/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP154 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP154 Rank 0s Supply
93 of 128 Remaining (29.81%)

Compares depleted density 29.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP154 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -37 bps / B-Stand 32 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP154 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP154 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+5=8 vs B(2+3)=3 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP154.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP154

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 104 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP154)

Under combinatorial state [DEP154] (25% penetration, 312 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 93/312 (29.81% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7 fires.

[DEP154-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP154], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -37 bps and Banker stand rate by 32 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5]=true invariably draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP154 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP154 MetricDEP154 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP154 At 104 DealtDEP154 Tableau Effect
[DEP154:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP154:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)93/312 (29.81%)Point Value 0
[DEP154:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -37 bps / B 32 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP154:Hand]P=3 vs B=5, P3=5P=8 vs B=36c (P)
  • [DEP154-1] Verify [DEP154] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP154-2] Compare [DEP154] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (93/312=29.81%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP154-3] Apply [DEP154] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP154

Why DEP154 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP154-C10] Auditioning [DEP154] at depth, Player opens 3 + 5 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP154]). Across [DEP154] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP154] BBPPBPBBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 93/312 in DEP154, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP154 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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