Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #14
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP014] · 25% DEPTH

Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #14

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP014, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 93 copies of Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) among 312 unseen cards (29.81% vs baseline 30.77%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -40 bps.

DEP014 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP014 0s Density
93/312 (29.81%)
DEP014 Draw Delta
-40 bps
DEP014 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B P B B P P B P P P B B B B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP014 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) -> 93/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP014 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP014 Rank 0s Supply
93 of 128 Remaining (29.81%)

Compares depleted density 29.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 30.77% for Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K).

DEP014 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -40 bps / B-Stand 15 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP014 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP014 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+8=9 vs B(10+3)=3 (P)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP014.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP014

How Removing Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 104 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP014)

Under combinatorial state [DEP014] (25% penetration, 312 cards remaining), Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) concentration stands at 93/312 (29.81% vs 30.77%), altering how often the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8 fires.

[DEP014-B] Across remaining coups in [DEP014], fewer Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) (0-point) cards tilt Player 0..5 draw rate by -40 bps and Banker stand rate by 15 bps, though BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false invariably stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP014 (Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP014 MetricDEP014 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP014 At 104 DealtDEP014 Tableau Effect
[DEP014:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP014:Rank]128/416 (30.77%)93/312 (29.81%)Point Value 0
[DEP014:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -40 bps / B 15 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP014:Hand]P=1 vs B=3, P3=8P=9 vs B=35c (P)
  • [DEP014-1] Verify [DEP014] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP014-2] Compare [DEP014] Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) density (93/312=29.81%) vs 30.77%.
  • [DEP014-3] Apply [DEP014] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP014

Why DEP014 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP014-C5] Auditioning [DEP014] at depth, Player opens 1 + 8 -> 9 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP014]). Across [DEP014] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP014] BBPPPBBPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Zero-Value Group (10/J/Q/K) is depleted to 93/312 in DEP014, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP014 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android