Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #118
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP118] · 70% DEPTH

Deuce (2) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #118

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP118, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 7 copies of Deuce (2) among 125 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -32 bps.

DEP118 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP118 2 Density
7/125 (5.60%)
DEP118 Draw Delta
-32 bps
DEP118 Tableau Gate
B4vP3:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P P P B B B B P B B P P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP118 (Deuce (2) -> 7/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP118 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP118 Rank 2 Supply
7 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Deuce (2).

DEP118 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -32 bps / B-Stand 23 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP118 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP118 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+3=6 vs B(2+2)=7 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP118.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP118

How Removing Deuce (2) at 291 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP118)

In finite-shoe state [DEP118], 291 cards have exited the 416-card shoe, leaving 7 Deuce (2) cards in 125 (5.60% vs 7.69%) to govern the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP118-B] Even as Deuce (2) (2 pts) depletion shifts Player drawing by -32 bps and Banker standing by 23 bps in [DEP118], Punto Banco law for B=4 vs P3=3 draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP118 (Deuce (2) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP118 MetricDEP118 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP118 At 291 DealtDEP118 Tableau Effect
[DEP118:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP118:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)7/125 (5.60%)Point Value 2
[DEP118:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -32 bps / B 23 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP118:Hand]P=3 vs B=4, P3=3P=6 vs B=76c (B)
  • [DEP118-1] Verify [DEP118] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP118-2] Compare [DEP118] Deuce (2) density (7/125=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP118-3] Apply [DEP118] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP118

Why DEP118 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP118-C5] Auditioning [DEP118] at depth, Player opens 3 + 3 -> 6 while Banker opens 4 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP118]). Across [DEP118] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP118] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Deuce (2) is depleted to 7/125 in DEP118, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP118 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android