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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP048] · 70% DEPTH

Deuce (2) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #48

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP048, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 5 copies of Deuce (2) among 125 unseen cards (4.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -15 bps.

DEP048 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP048 2 Density
5/125 (4.00%)
DEP048 Draw Delta
-15 bps
DEP048 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B B P P P B B B B P P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP048 (Deuce (2) -> 5/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 6 with Column 3, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP048 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP048 Rank 2 Supply
5 of 32 Remaining (4.00%)

Compares depleted density 4.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Deuce (2).

DEP048 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -15 bps / B-Stand 30 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP048 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP048 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+8=3 vs B(10+3)=3 (T)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP048.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP048

How Removing Deuce (2) at 291 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP048)

In finite-shoe state [DEP048], 291 cards have exited the 416-card shoe, leaving 5 Deuce (2) cards in 125 (4.00% vs 7.69%) to govern the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP048-B] Even as Deuce (2) (2 pts) depletion shifts Player drawing by -15 bps and Banker standing by 30 bps in [DEP048], Punto Banco law for B=3 vs P3=8 stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP048 (Deuce (2) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP048 MetricDEP048 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP048 At 291 DealtDEP048 Tableau Effect
[DEP048:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP048:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)5/125 (4.00%)Point Value 2
[DEP048:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -15 bps / B 30 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP048:Hand]P=5 vs B=3, P3=8P=3 vs B=35c (T)
  • [DEP048-1] Verify [DEP048] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP048-2] Compare [DEP048] Deuce (2) density (5/125=4.00%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP048-3] Apply [DEP048] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c T).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP048

Why DEP048 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP048-C9] Auditioning [DEP048] at depth, Player opens 5 + 8 -> 3 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (T in [DEP048]). Across [DEP048] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging T onto [DEP048] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Deuce (2) is depleted to 5/125 in DEP048, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP048 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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