In shoe-depletion analysis DEP300, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Deuce (2) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -36 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP300 (Deuce (2) -> 14/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Deuce (2).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP300.
In finite-shoe state [DEP300], 166 cards have exited the 416-card shoe, leaving 14 Deuce (2) cards in 250 (5.60% vs 7.69%) to govern the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP300-B] Even as Deuce (2) (2 pts) depletion shifts Player drawing by -36 bps and Banker standing by 11 bps in [DEP300], Punto Banco law for B=2 vs P3=3 draws a sixth card.
| DEP300 Metric | DEP300 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP300 At 166 Dealt | DEP300 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP300:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP300:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 14/250 (5.60%) | Point Value 2 |
| [DEP300:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -36 bps / B 11 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP300:Hand] | P=5 vs B=2, P3=3 | P=8 vs B=5 | 6c (P) |
[DEP300-C5] Auditioning [DEP300] at depth, Player opens 5 + 3 -> 8 while Banker opens 2 -> 5 across 6c (P in [DEP300]). Across [DEP300] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP300] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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