Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #160
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP160] · 40% DEPTH

Deuce (2) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #160

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP160, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Deuce (2) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -39 bps.

DEP160 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP160 2 Density
14/250 (5.60%)
DEP160 Draw Delta
-39 bps
DEP160 Tableau Gate
B5vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B B P P P B B B B P P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP160 (Deuce (2) -> 14/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 6 with Column 3, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP160 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP160 Rank 2 Supply
14 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Deuce (2).

DEP160 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -39 bps / B-Stand 25 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP160 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP160 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+7=0 vs B(2+3)=1 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP160.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP160

How Removing Deuce (2) at 166 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP160)

In finite-shoe state [DEP160], 166 cards have exited the 416-card shoe, leaving 14 Deuce (2) cards in 250 (5.60% vs 7.69%) to govern the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP160-B] Even as Deuce (2) (2 pts) depletion shifts Player drawing by -39 bps and Banker standing by 25 bps in [DEP160], Punto Banco law for B=5 vs P3=7 draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP160 (Deuce (2) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP160 MetricDEP160 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP160 At 166 DealtDEP160 Tableau Effect
[DEP160:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP160:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)14/250 (5.60%)Point Value 2
[DEP160:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -39 bps / B 25 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP160:Hand]P=3 vs B=5, P3=7P=0 vs B=16c (B)
  • [DEP160-1] Verify [DEP160] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP160-2] Compare [DEP160] Deuce (2) density (14/250=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP160-3] Apply [DEP160] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP160

Why DEP160 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP160-C0] Auditioning [DEP160] at depth, Player opens 3 + 7 -> 0 while Banker opens 5 -> 1 across 6c (B in [DEP160]). Across [DEP160] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP160] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Deuce (2) is depleted to 14/250 in DEP160, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP160 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android