In shoe-depletion analysis DEP203, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 2 copies of Three (3) among 75 unseen cards (2.67% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -22 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP203 (Three (3) -> 2/75).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 2.67% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP203.
Composition analysis [DEP203] measures Three (3) scarcity at 341/416 cards: 2 left in 75 (2.67% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP203-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP203] produces a -22-bps Player draw delta and 37-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 5 facing 6 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP203 Metric | DEP203 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP203 At 341 Dealt | DEP203 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP203:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 75 Left (82% Dealt) | Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) |
| [DEP203:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 2/75 (2.67%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP203:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -22 bps / B 37 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP203:Hand] | P=4 vs B=5, P3=6 | P=0 vs B=5 | 6c (B) |
[DEP203-C2] Auditioning [DEP203] at depth, Player opens 4 + 6 -> 0 while Banker opens 5 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP203]). Across [DEP203] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP203] PPBBPBPPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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