In shoe-depletion analysis DEP119, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Three (3) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -37 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP119 (Three (3) -> 6/125).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP119.
Composition analysis [DEP119] measures Three (3) scarcity at 291/416 cards: 6 left in 125 (4.80% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.
[DEP119-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP119] produces a -37-bps Player draw delta and 33-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 4 facing 4 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP119 Metric | DEP119 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP119 At 291 Dealt | DEP119 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP119:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 125 Left (70% Dealt) | Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) |
| [DEP119:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 6/125 (4.80%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP119:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -37 bps / B 33 bps | B4 Draw 2-7 Gate |
| [DEP119:Hand] | P=4 vs B=4, P3=4 | P=8 vs B=9 | 6c (B) |
[DEP119-C12] Auditioning [DEP119] at depth, Player opens 4 + 4 -> 8 while Banker opens 4 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP119]). Across [DEP119] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP119] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
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