In shoe-depletion analysis DEP049, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 8 copies of Three (3) among 125 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -20 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP049 (Three (3) -> 8/125).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP049.
Composition analysis [DEP049] measures Three (3) scarcity at 291/416 cards: 8 left in 125 (6.40% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP049-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP049] produces a -20-bps Player draw delta and 9-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 3 facing 8 always stands pat on five cards.
| DEP049 Metric | DEP049 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP049 At 291 Dealt | DEP049 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP049:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 125 Left (70% Dealt) | Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) |
| [DEP049:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 8/125 (6.40%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP049:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -20 bps / B 9 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP049:Hand] | P=0 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=8 vs B=3 | 5c (P) |
[DEP049-C3] Auditioning [DEP049] at depth, Player opens 0 + 8 -> 8 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP049]). Across [DEP049] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP049] PPBBPPBPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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