In shoe-depletion analysis DEP315, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 10 copies of Three (3) among 187 unseen cards (5.35% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -46 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP315 (Three (3) -> 10/187).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.35% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP315.
Composition analysis [DEP315] measures Three (3) scarcity at 229/416 cards: 10 left in 187 (5.35% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP315-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP315] produces a -46-bps Player draw delta and 32-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 2 facing 2 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP315 Metric | DEP315 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP315 At 229 Dealt | DEP315 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP315:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP315:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 10/187 (5.35%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP315:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -46 bps / B 32 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP315:Hand] | P=2 vs B=2, P3=2 | P=4 vs B=1 | 6c (P) |
[DEP315-C6] Auditioning [DEP315] at depth, Player opens 2 + 2 -> 4 while Banker opens 2 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP315]). Across [DEP315] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP315] PPBBPBPPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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