In shoe-depletion analysis DEP301, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Three (3) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -41 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP301 (Three (3) -> 17/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 0) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP301.
Composition analysis [DEP301] measures Three (3) scarcity at 166/416 cards: 17 left in 250 (6.80% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP301-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP301] produces a -41-bps Player draw delta and 21-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 2 facing 0 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP301 Metric | DEP301 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP301 At 166 Dealt | DEP301 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP301:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP301:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 17/250 (6.80%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP301:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -41 bps / B 21 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP301:Hand] | P=0 vs B=2, P3=0 | P=0 vs B=7 | 6c (B) |
[DEP301-C12] Auditioning [DEP301] at depth, Player opens 0 + 0 -> 0 while Banker opens 2 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP301]). Across [DEP301] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP301] PPBBPBPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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