In shoe-depletion analysis DEP231, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Three (3) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -24 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP231 (Three (3) -> 15/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP231.
Composition analysis [DEP231] measures Three (3) scarcity at 166/416 cards: 15 left in 250 (6.00% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP231-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP231] produces a -24-bps Player draw delta and 28-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 6 facing 8 always stands pat on five cards.
| DEP231 Metric | DEP231 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP231 At 166 Dealt | DEP231 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP231:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP231:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 15/250 (6.00%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP231:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -24 bps / B 28 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP231:Hand] | P=2 vs B=6, P3=8 | P=0 vs B=6 | 5c (B) |
[DEP231-C3] Auditioning [DEP231] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP231]). Across [DEP231] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP231] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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