In shoe-depletion analysis DEP161, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Three (3) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -44 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP161 (Three (3) -> 17/250).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP161.
Composition analysis [DEP161] measures Three (3) scarcity at 166/416 cards: 17 left in 250 (6.80% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP161-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP161] produces a -44-bps Player draw delta and 35-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 5 facing 4 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP161 Metric | DEP161 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP161 At 166 Dealt | DEP161 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP161:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP161:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 17/250 (6.80%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP161:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -44 bps / B 35 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP161:Hand] | P=4 vs B=5, P3=4 | P=8 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP161-C7] Auditioning [DEP161] at depth, Player opens 4 + 4 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP161]). Across [DEP161] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP161] PPBBPPBPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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