In shoe-depletion analysis DEP091, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Three (3) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -27 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP091 (Three (3) -> 15/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP091.
Composition analysis [DEP091] measures Three (3) scarcity at 166/416 cards: 15 left in 250 (6.00% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.
[DEP091-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP091] produces a -27-bps Player draw delta and 11-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 4 facing 4 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP091 Metric | DEP091 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP091 At 166 Dealt | DEP091 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP091:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP091:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 15/250 (6.00%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP091:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -27 bps / B 11 bps | B4 Draw 2-7 Gate |
| [DEP091:Hand] | P=0 vs B=4, P3=4 | P=4 vs B=1 | 6c (P) |
[DEP091-C11] Auditioning [DEP091] at depth, Player opens 0 + 4 -> 4 while Banker opens 4 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP091]). Across [DEP091] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP091] PPBBPBPPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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