In shoe-depletion analysis DEP147, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 20 copies of Three (3) among 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -39 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP147 (Three (3) -> 20/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP147.
Composition analysis [DEP147] measures Three (3) scarcity at 104/416 cards: 20 left in 312 (6.41% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP147-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP147] produces a -39-bps Player draw delta and 24-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 5 facing 6 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP147 Metric | DEP147 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP147 At 104 Dealt | DEP147 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP147:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP147:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 20/312 (6.41%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP147:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -39 bps / B 24 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP147:Hand] | P=2 vs B=5, P3=6 | P=8 vs B=9 | 6c (B) |
[DEP147-C0] Auditioning [DEP147] at depth, Player opens 2 + 6 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP147]). Across [DEP147] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP147] PPBBPBPBBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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