In shoe-depletion analysis DEP007, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 20 copies of Three (3) among 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -42 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP007 (Three (3) -> 20/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Three (3).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP007.
Composition analysis [DEP007] measures Three (3) scarcity at 104/416 cards: 20 left in 312 (6.41% vs 7.69%) changes arrival rates into the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP007-B] Thinning Three (3) (3 pts) in [DEP007] produces a -42-bps Player draw delta and 38-bps Banker stand delta; nevertheless, Banker 3 facing 8 always stands pat on five cards.
| DEP007 Metric | DEP007 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP007 At 104 Dealt | DEP007 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP007:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP007:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 20/312 (6.41%) | Point Value 3 |
| [DEP007:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -42 bps / B 38 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP007:Hand] | P=0 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=8 vs B=3 | 5c (P) |
[DEP007-C8] Auditioning [DEP007] at depth, Player opens 0 + 8 -> 8 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP007]). Across [DEP007] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP007] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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