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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP197] · 82% DEPTH

Ten (10) Depletion at 341/416 Cards (82%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #197

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP197, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 4 copies of Ten (10) among 75 unseen cards (5.33% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -29 bps.

DEP197 Shoe Depth
341/416 (82%)
DEP197 10 Density
4/75 (5.33%)
DEP197 Draw Delta
-29 bps
DEP197 Tableau Gate
B5vP4:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P P P B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP197 (Ten (10) -> 4/75).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP197 Penetration Depth
341 Dealt / 75 Remaining (82%)

Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP197 Rank 10 Supply
4 of 32 Remaining (5.33%)

Compares depleted density 5.33% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).

DEP197 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -29 bps / B-Stand 39 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP197 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP197 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+4=8 vs B(A+4)=6 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP197.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP197

How Removing Ten (10) at 341 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP197)

[DEP197] At 341 cards dealt (82% shoe depth, 75 undealt), removing 28 copies of Ten (10) leaves 4/75 (5.33% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP197-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -29 bps and Banker standing frequency by 39 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4]=true still draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP197 (Ten (10) at 341/416 Cards)
DEP197 MetricDEP197 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP197 At 341 DealtDEP197 Tableau Effect
[DEP197:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)75 Left (82% Dealt)Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)
[DEP197:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)4/75 (5.33%)Point Value 0
[DEP197:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -29 bps / B 39 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP197:Hand]P=4 vs B=5, P3=4P=8 vs B=66c (P)
  • [DEP197-1] Verify [DEP197] 75 unseen cards remain after 341/416 exit.
  • [DEP197-2] Compare [DEP197] Ten (10) density (4/75=5.33%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP197-3] Apply [DEP197] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP197

Why DEP197 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP197-C12] Auditioning [DEP197] at depth, Player opens 4 + 4 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 6 across 6c (P in [DEP197]). Across [DEP197] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP197] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ten (10) is depleted to 4/75 in DEP197, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 341/416 cards in DEP197 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android