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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP323] · 70% DEPTH

Ten (10) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #323

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP323, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Ten (10) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -21 bps.

DEP323 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP323 10 Density
6/125 (4.80%)
DEP323 Draw Delta
-21 bps
DEP323 Tableau Gate
B2vP2:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B B B P P P P B B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP323 (Ten (10) -> 6/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP323 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP323 Rank 10 Supply
6 of 32 Remaining (4.80%)

Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).

DEP323 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -21 bps / B-Stand 14 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP323 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP323 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+2=6 vs B(8+4)=6 (T)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP323.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP323

How Removing Ten (10) at 291 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP323)

[DEP323] At 291 cards dealt (70% shoe depth, 125 undealt), removing 26 copies of Ten (10) leaves 6/125 (4.80% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP323-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -21 bps and Banker standing frequency by 14 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2]=true still draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP323 (Ten (10) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP323 MetricDEP323 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP323 At 291 DealtDEP323 Tableau Effect
[DEP323:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP323:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)6/125 (4.80%)Point Value 0
[DEP323:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -21 bps / B 14 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP323:Hand]P=4 vs B=2, P3=2P=6 vs B=66c (T)
  • [DEP323-1] Verify [DEP323] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP323-2] Compare [DEP323] Ten (10) density (6/125=4.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP323-3] Apply [DEP323] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2]=true (6c T).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP323

Why DEP323 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP323-C10] Auditioning [DEP323] at depth, Player opens 4 + 2 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 6 across 6c (T in [DEP323]). Across [DEP323] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging T onto [DEP323] PPBBPBPBBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ten (10) is depleted to 6/125 in DEP323, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP323 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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