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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP183] · 70% DEPTH

Ten (10) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #183

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP183, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Ten (10) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -24 bps.

DEP183 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP183 10 Density
6/125 (4.80%)
DEP183 Draw Delta
-24 bps
DEP183 Tableau Gate
B5vP6:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B B B P P P P B P P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP183 (Ten (10) -> 6/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP183 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP183 Rank 10 Supply
6 of 32 Remaining (4.80%)

Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).

DEP183 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -24 bps / B-Stand 28 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP183 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP183 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+6=8 vs B(A+4)=2 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP183.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP183

How Removing Ten (10) at 291 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP183)

[DEP183] At 291 cards dealt (70% shoe depth, 125 undealt), removing 26 copies of Ten (10) leaves 6/125 (4.80% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP183-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -24 bps and Banker standing frequency by 28 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6]=true still draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP183 (Ten (10) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP183 MetricDEP183 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP183 At 291 DealtDEP183 Tableau Effect
[DEP183:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP183:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)6/125 (4.80%)Point Value 0
[DEP183:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -24 bps / B 28 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP183:Hand]P=2 vs B=5, P3=6P=8 vs B=26c (P)
  • [DEP183-1] Verify [DEP183] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP183-2] Compare [DEP183] Ten (10) density (6/125=4.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP183-3] Apply [DEP183] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP183

Why DEP183 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP183-C5] Auditioning [DEP183] at depth, Player opens 2 + 6 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 2 across 6c (P in [DEP183]). Across [DEP183] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP183] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ten (10) is depleted to 6/125 in DEP183, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP183 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android