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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP239] · 55% DEPTH

Ten (10) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #239

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP239, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 10 copies of Ten (10) among 187 unseen cards (5.35% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -36 bps.

DEP239 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP239 10 Density
10/187 (5.35%)
DEP239 Draw Delta
-36 bps
DEP239 Tableau Gate
B6vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P B P P B B P B B B P P P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP239 (Ten (10) -> 10/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP239 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP239 Rank 10 Supply
10 of 32 Remaining (5.35%)

Compares depleted density 5.35% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).

DEP239 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -36 bps / B-Stand 10 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP239 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP239 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+8=2 vs B(2+4)=6 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP239.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP239

How Removing Ten (10) at 229 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP239)

[DEP239] At 229 cards dealt (55% shoe depth, 187 undealt), removing 22 copies of Ten (10) leaves 10/187 (5.35% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP239-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -36 bps and Banker standing frequency by 10 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8]=false still stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP239 (Ten (10) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP239 MetricDEP239 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP239 At 229 DealtDEP239 Tableau Effect
[DEP239:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP239:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)10/187 (5.35%)Point Value 0
[DEP239:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -36 bps / B 10 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP239:Hand]P=4 vs B=6, P3=8P=2 vs B=65c (B)
  • [DEP239-1] Verify [DEP239] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP239-2] Compare [DEP239] Ten (10) density (10/187=5.35%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP239-3] Apply [DEP239] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP239

Why DEP239 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP239-C7] Auditioning [DEP239] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP239]). Across [DEP239] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP239] PPBBBPPBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ten (10) is depleted to 10/187 in DEP239, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP239 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android